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Aspen Technology (Aspen Technology) Altman Z-Score

: 5.50 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 5.52 is strong.

Aspen Technology has a Altman Z-Score of 5.50, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aspen Technology's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AZPN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.05   Med: 9.24   Max: 14.23
Current: 5.52

During the past 13 years, Aspen Technology's highest Altman Z-Score was 14.23. The lowest was 4.05. And the median was 9.24.


Aspen Technology Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aspen Technology's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aspen Technology Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.23 8.91 12.19 4.05 4.65

Aspen Technology Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.62 6.22 4.65 6.03 6.15

Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Aspen Technology's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aspen Technology Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Aspen Technology's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aspen Technology's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Aspen Technology Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Aspen Technology's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0237+1.4*-0.0068+3.3*-0.0104+0.6*9.067+1.0*0.0743
=5.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $14,228 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $709 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $372 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-97 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -37.159 + -51.992 + 22.642 + -81.785 = $-148 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Revenue was 257.163 + 249.308 + 320.643 + 229.878 = $1,057 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $12,501 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,379 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(709.251 - 371.983)/14227.844
=0.0237

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-97.416/14227.844
=-0.0068

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-148.294 - 0)/14227.844
=-0.0104

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=12501.324/1378.771
=9.067

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1056.992/14227.844
=0.0743

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Aspen Technology has a Altman Z-Score of 5.50 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Aspen Technology  (NAS:AZPN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Aspen Technology Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Aspen Technology (Aspen Technology) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20 Crosby Drive, Bedford, MA, USA, 01730
Aspen Technology is a global leader in asset optimization software, enabling customers within capital-intensive industries to design, operate and maintain their functions to meet their profitability, safety, and sustainability goals. The heritage business of AspenTech was founded in 1981 and provides software solutions purposed to optimize engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain and asset management functions. In 2021, Emerson Electric traded over $6 billion in cash and its Open Systems International (digital grid management) and subsurface science and engineering businesses for 55% of AspenTech's shares. The new AspenTech is the combination of heritage Aspen, OSI, and SSE and serves more than 3,000 customers across 40 countries.
Executives
Whelan, Jr. Robert M. director ARIAD PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 26 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Mark Edgar Mouritsen officer: Senior VP & General Counsel C/O ASPEN TECHNOLOGY, INC., 20 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
F G Hammond officer: Senior VP & General Counsel C/O ASPEN TECHNOLOGY, INC., 10 CANAL PARK, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Antonio J Pietri director, officer: President & CEO C/O ASPEN TECHNOLOGY, INC., 20 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Robert E Beauchamp director 2101 CITYWEST BLVD, HOUSTON TX 77042-2827
Chantelle Yvette Breithaupt officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O ASPEN TECHNOLOGY, INC. 20 CROSBY DR., BEDFORD MA 01730
Arlen Shenkman director C/O CITRIX SYSTEMS, INC., 851 WEST CYRESS CREEK ROAD, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Thomas F Bogan director C/O WORKDAY, INC., 6110 STONERIDGE MALL RD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Patrick M. Antkowiak director 4 PATRICK WAY, KINGSVILLE MD 21087
Christopher Stagno officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer C/O BRIGHTCOVE INC., 290 CONGRESS STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Manish Chawla officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O ASPEN TECHNOLOGY, INC., 20 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Jill D. Smith director 1601 DRY CREEK DRIVE, SUITE 260, LONGMONT CO 80503
Karen Golz director ONE TECHNOLOGY WAY, NORWOOD MA 02062
Ram R. Krishnan director C/O EMERSON ELECTRIC CO., 8000 W. FLORISSANT AVENUE, ST. LOUIS MO 63136
Emerson Electric Co director, 10 percent owner 8000 W. FLORISSANT, P.O. BOX 4100, ST LOUIS MO 63136