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Big Lots (Big Lots) Altman Z-Score

: 2.31 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.22 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Big Lots has a Altman Z-Score of 2.31, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Big Lots is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Big Lots's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BIG' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.22   Med: 5.51   Max: 7.75
Current: 2.22

During the past 13 years, Big Lots's highest Altman Z-Score was 7.75. The lowest was 2.22. And the median was 5.51.


Big Lots Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Big Lots's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Big Lots Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.57 4.03 3.34 2.69 -

Big Lots Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.69 2.30 2.28 2.23 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Big Lots's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Big Lots Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Big Lots's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Big Lots's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Big Lots Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Big Lots's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0767+1.4*0.8272+3.3*-0.1165+0.6*0.0352+1.0*1.42
=2.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $3,325 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,086 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $831 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $2,751 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -34.613 + 6.09 + -133.262 + -270.323 = $-432 Mil.
Interest Expense was -10.842 + -13.592 + -11.175 + -9.149 = $-45 Mil.
Revenue was 1432.484 + 1026.677 + 1139.361 + 1123.577 = $4,722 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $107 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $3,041 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1086.023 - 831.019)/3325.309
=0.0767

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2750.748/3325.309
=0.8272

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-432.108 - -44.758)/3325.309
=-0.1165

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=107.078/3040.814
=0.0352

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=4722.099/3325.309
=1.42

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Big Lots has a Altman Z-Score of 2.31 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Big Lots  (NYSE:BIG) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Big Lots Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Big Lots's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Big Lots (Big Lots) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4900 East Dublin-Granville Road, Columbus, OH, USA, 43081
Big Lots Inc is principally engaged in operating discount retail stores. The company provides a broad range of merchandise, including food, consumables, soft home products, hard home products, furniture, electronics and accessories, and seasonal products. The company sources the merchandise from traditional and close-out channels. In addition to merchandise, the company sells gift cards, issues merchandise credits, and more. The company operates stores throughout the United States, with around one-third of its stores in California, Texas, Ohio, and Florida.
Executives
Christopher J Mccormick director 669 HALYARD LANE, LONGBOAT KEY FL 34228
Sebastian Digrande director 2 FOLSOM STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Michael Allen Schlonsky officer: Senior Vice President 300 PHILLIPI ROAD, COLUMBUS OH 43228
Robins Ronald A Jr officer: Senior Vice President 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Bruce K Thorn director, officer: CEO & President 15885 SPRAGUE RD, STRONGSVILLE OH 44136-1799
Margarita Giannantonio officer: Executive Vice President 4900 E DUBLIN GRANVILLE RD, COLUMBUS OH 43081
Nicholas E Padovano officer: Senior Vice President 4900 E DUBLIN GRANVILLE RD, COLUMBUS OH 43081
Gurmeet Singh officer: Executive Vice President 2 FOLSOM ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Sandra Yvette Campos director 4900 E DUBLIN GRANVILLE RD, COLUMBUS OH 43081
Kimberley Alexis Newton director 4900 E DUBLIN GRANVILLE RD, COLUMBUS OH 43081
James R Chambers director C/O B&G FOODS, INC., 4 GATEHALL DRIVE, SUITE 110, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Cynthia T Jamison director TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY, 5401 VIRGINIA WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Gene Eddie Burt officer: Executive Vice President 19601 N 27TH AVE, PHOENIX AZ 85027
Wendy Lee Schoppert director 6105 TRENTON LANE NORTH, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55442
Jack Anthony Pestello officer: Executive Vice President 4900 E DUBLIN GRANVILLE RD, COLUMBUS OH 43081