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Dollar General (Dollar General) Altman Z-Score

: 2.49 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.51 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Dollar General has a Altman Z-Score of 2.49, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Dollar General is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dollar General's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

DG' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.42   Med: 4.1   Max: 5.58
Current: 2.51

During the past 13 years, Dollar General's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.58. The lowest was 2.42. And the median was 4.10.


Dollar General Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dollar General's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dollar General Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.21 3.44 3.28 3.13 2.42

Dollar General Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.13 3.05 2.74 2.40 2.42

Competitive Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar General's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollar General Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar General's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar General's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Dollar General Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Dollar General's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0417+1.4*0.0909+3.3*0.0794+0.6*1.3218+1.0*1.2564
=2.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $30,796 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8,011 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $6,726 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $2,799 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 502.537 + 351.185 + 607.977 + 657.82 = $2,120 Mil.
Interest Expense was -77.117 + -82.289 + -84.337 + -83.038 = $-327 Mil.
Revenue was 9858.514 + 9694.082 + 9796.181 + 9342.832 = $38,692 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $31,784 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $24,046 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(8010.724 - 6725.701)/30795.591
=0.0417

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2799.415/30795.591
=0.0909

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(2119.519 - -326.781)/30795.591
=0.0794

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=31784.243/24046.472
=1.3218

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=38691.609/30795.591
=1.2564

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Dollar General has a Altman Z-Score of 2.49 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Dollar General  (NYSE:DG) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Dollar General Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dollar General's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dollar General (Dollar General) Business Description

Address
100 Mission Ridge, Goodlettsville, TN, USA, 37072
With over 19,000 locations, Dollar General's banner is nearly ubiquitous across the rural United States. Dollar General serves as a convenient shopping destination for fill-in store trips, with its value proposition most relevant to consumers in small communities with a dearth of shopping options. The retailer operates a frugal store of about 7,500 square feet and primarily offers an assortment of branded and private-label consumable items (80% of net sales) such as paper and cleaning products, packaged and perishable food, tobacco, and health and beauty items at low prices. Dollar General also offers a limited assortment of seasonal merchandise, home products, and apparel. The firm sells most items at a price point of $10 or lower.
Executives
Carman R Wenkoff officer: EVP & Chief Information Ofc 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Roderick J West officer: EVP, Global Supply Chain 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
David Rowland director C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 06061
Michael M Calbert director C/O DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION, 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Jeffery Owen officer: EVP, Store Operations C/O KIRKLAND'S, INC., 5310 MARYLAND WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Todd J Vasos officer: Div. Pres., Chief Merch. Ofc
Ana Maria Chadwick director 3001 SUMMER ST, STAMFORD CT 06926
Steven R Deckard officer: EVP, Growth & Emerging Mkts 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Kelly Dilts officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 6380 ROGERDALE, HOUSTON TX 77072
Timothy I Mcguire director 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
John W Garratt officer: Interim CFO 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Rhonda Taylor officer: SVP & General Counsel 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Anita C Elliott officer: Senior VP & Controller 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Patricia Filikrushel director DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION, 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Antonio Zuazo officer: EVP, Global Supply Chain 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072