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New Oriental Education & Technology Group (New Oriental Education & Technology Group) Altman Z-Score

: 3.88 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.94 is strong.

New Oriental Education & Technology Group has a Altman Z-Score of 3.88, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for New Oriental Education & Technology Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EDU' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.2   Med: 4.74   Max: 7.64
Current: 3.94

During the past 13 years, New Oriental Education & Technology Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 7.64. The lowest was 1.20. And the median was 4.74.


New Oriental Education & Technology Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for New Oriental Education & Technology Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.59 4.54 3.22 1.34 2.74

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Quarterly Data
Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.16 2.67 2.74 3.12 3.78

Competitive Comparison

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, New Oriental Education & Technology Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


New Oriental Education & Technology Group Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, New Oriental Education & Technology Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where New Oriental Education & Technology Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



New Oriental Education & Technology Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

New Oriental Education & Technology Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3242+1.4*0+3.3*0.0673+0.6*4.6152+1.0*0.5026
=3.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Nov. 2023:
Total Assets was $7,131 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,977 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,665 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 58.164 + 247.1 + 71.838 + 103.021 = $480 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Revenue was 869.6 + 1100.021 + 860.571 + 754.153 = $3,584 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $14,010 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $3,036 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(4976.886 - 2664.907)/7131.494
=0.3242

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=0/7131.494
=0

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(480.123 - 0)/7131.494
=0.0673

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=14010.215/3035.687
=4.6152

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3584.345/7131.494
=0.5026

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

New Oriental Education & Technology Group has a Altman Z-Score of 3.88 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


New Oriental Education & Technology Group  (NYSE:EDU) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


New Oriental Education & Technology Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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New Oriental Education & Technology Group (New Oriental Education & Technology Group) Business Description

Address
No. 6 Hai Dian Zhong Street, Haidian District, Beijing, CHN, 100080
New Oriental is a leading private education provider in China. K-9 academic after-school tutoring used to account for 50%-60% of New Oriental's revenue before the regulatory crackdown in 2021. After terminating its K-9 academic after-school tutoring business, New Oriental has identified a few new initiatives such as nonacademic tutoring and intelligent learning systems and devices. The remaining businesses include high school academic after-school tutoring and overseas-related test preparation and consulting business. It also owns 55.7% of East Buy (HKG: 01797), a market leader in livestreaming e-commerce.

New Oriental Education & Technology Group (New Oriental Education & Technology Group) Headlines

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