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Hilton Grand Vacations (Hilton Grand Vacations) Altman Z-Score

: 1.72 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.72 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Hilton Grand Vacations has a Altman Z-Score of 1.72, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hilton Grand Vacations's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HGV' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.39   Med: 2.41   Max: 3.49
Current: 1.72

During the past 11 years, Hilton Grand Vacations's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.49. The lowest was 1.39. And the median was 2.41.


Hilton Grand Vacations Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hilton Grand Vacations's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hilton Grand Vacations Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.41 1.39 1.61 1.70 1.70

Hilton Grand Vacations Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.70 1.68 1.74 1.71 1.70

Competitive Comparison

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Hilton Grand Vacations's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hilton Grand Vacations Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Hilton Grand Vacations's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hilton Grand Vacations's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Hilton Grand Vacations Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Hilton Grand Vacations's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4287+1.4*0.0683+3.3*0.0722+0.6*0.6889+1.0*0.458
=1.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $8,685 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,015 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,292 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $593 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 108 + 136 + 115 + 90 = $449 Mil.
Interest Expense was -45 + -45 + -44 + -44 = $-178 Mil.
Revenue was 1019 + 1018 + 1007 + 934 = $3,978 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $4,526 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $6,570 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(5015 - 1292)/8685
=0.4287

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=593/8685
=0.0683

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(449 - -178)/8685
=0.0722

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=4526.022/6570
=0.6889

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3978/8685
=0.458

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Hilton Grand Vacations has a Altman Z-Score of 1.72 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Hilton Grand Vacations  (NYSE:HGV) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Hilton Grand Vacations Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Hilton Grand Vacations (Hilton Grand Vacations) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6355 MetroWest Boulevard, Suite 180, Orlando, FL, USA, 32835
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc is a timeshare company engaged in developing, marketing, selling, managing and operating timeshare resorts, timeshare plans and ancillary reservation services, under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. The company operates business in the following two segments: (i) Real estate sales and financing and (ii) Resort operations and club management. The majority of the company's revenue is earned through the Resort operations and club management segment.
Executives
Carlos Hernandez officer: See Remarks 5323 MILLENIA LAKES BOULEVARD, SUITE 120, ORLANDO FL 32839
Mark D Wang director, officer: See Remarks 5323 MILLENIA LAKES BLVD, ORLANDO FL 32801
Gordon Gurnik officer: See Remarks C/O WYNDHAM WORLDWIDE CORPORATION, 22 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Daniel Jason Mathewes officer: See Remarks 5323 MILLENIA LAKES BLVD., SUITE 400, ORLANDO FL 32839
Corbin Charles R. Jr. officer: EVP & General Counsel C/O HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC., 6355 METROWEST BOULEVARD, SUITE 180, ORLANDO FL 32835
Jorge Pablo Brizi officer: See Remarks 5323 MILLENIA LAKES BOULEVARD, SUITE120, ORLANDO FL 32839
Apollo Principal Holdings Iii Gp Ltd 10 percent owner C/O INTERTRUST CORPORATE SERVICES, (CAYMAN) LIMITED, 190 ELGIN STREET, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9005
Ap Viii Dakota Holdings, L.p. 10 percent owner ONE MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 201, PURCHASE NY 10577
Ap Dakota Co-invest Gp, Llc 10 percent owner ONE MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 201, PURCHASE NY 10577
Hoek Alex Van director APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT INC., 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 100019
Apollo Capital Management Viii, Llc 10 percent owner ONE MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 201, PURCHASE NY 10577
Apollo Advisors Viii, L.p. 10 percent owner ONE MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 201, PURCHASE NY 10577
Aph Holdings, L.p. 10 percent owner ONE MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, SUITE 201, PURCHASE NY 10577
David Sambur director 9 W. 57TH STREET, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Sherri A Silver officer: EVP & Chief Marketing Officer 100 ERIE INSURANCE PLACE, ERIE PA 16530