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General Mills (LTS:0R1X) Altman Z-Score

: 2.96 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.96 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

General Mills has a Altman Z-Score of 2.96, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that General Mills is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for General Mills's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0R1X' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.96   Med: 2.9   Max: 3.5
Current: 2.96

During the past 13 years, General Mills's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.50. The lowest was 1.96. And the median was 2.90.


General Mills Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for General Mills's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

General Mills Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.23 2.59 2.63 2.95 3.23

General Mills Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.09 3.23 2.96 2.80 2.89

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, General Mills's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


General Mills Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, General Mills's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where General Mills's Altman Z-Score falls into.



General Mills Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

General Mills's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.078+1.4*0.6616+3.3*0.115+0.6*1.8271+1.0*0.6537
=2.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2024:
Total Assets was $30,861 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,655 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $7,062 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $20,417 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 807.6 + 714.1 + 830 + 737.4 = $3,089 Mil.
Interest Expense was -121.7 + -117.8 + -117 + -104.6 = $-461 Mil.
Revenue was 5099.2 + 5139.4 + 4904.7 + 5030 = $20,173 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $38,677 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $21,169 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(4654.5 - 7061.9)/30860.5
=-0.078

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=20416.7/30860.5
=0.6616

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(3089.1 - -461.1)/30860.5
=0.115

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=38677.236/21169.2
=1.8271

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=20173.3/30860.5
=0.6537

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

General Mills has a Altman Z-Score of 2.96 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


General Mills  (LTS:0R1X) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


General Mills Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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General Mills (LTS:0R1X) Business Description

Address
Number One General Mills Boulevard, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55426
General Mills is a global packaged food company that produces snacks, cereal, convenient meals, yogurt, dough, baking mixes and ingredients, pet food, and superpremium ice cream. Its largest brands are Nature Valley, Cheerios, Old El Paso, Yoplait, Pillsbury, Betty Crocker, Blue Buffalo, and Haagen-Dazs. In fiscal 2023, 81% of its revenue was derived from the United States, although the company also operates in Canada, Europe, Australia, Asia, and Latin America. While most of General Mills' products are sold through retail stores to consumers, the company also sells products to the foodservice channel and the commercial baking industry.

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