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Novolipetsk Steel PJSC (MIC:NLMK) Altman Z-Score

: 6.73 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Novolipetsk Steel PJSC has a Altman Z-Score of 6.73, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Novolipetsk Steel PJSC's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Novolipetsk Steel PJSC Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Novolipetsk Steel PJSC's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Novolipetsk Steel PJSC Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.43 5.95 5.24 5.29 6.64

Novolipetsk Steel PJSC Quarterly Data
Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.29 6.16 5.96 6.39 6.64

Competitive Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Novolipetsk Steel PJSC's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Novolipetsk Steel PJSC Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Novolipetsk Steel PJSC's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Novolipetsk Steel PJSC's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Novolipetsk Steel PJSC Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Novolipetsk Steel PJSC's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.17+1.4*1.0923+3.3*0.5247+0.6*3.2192+1.0*1.3317
=6.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2021:
Total Assets was ₽899,124 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₽397,696 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₽244,873 Mil.
Retained Earnings was ₽982,079 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 122510.292 + 149432.033 + 122237.148 + 73550.975 = ₽467,730 Mil.
Interest Expense was 3031.335 + -1315.294 + -4116.224 + -1669.888 = ₽-4,070 Mil.
Revenue was 342319.041 + 333207.859 + 304233.047 + 217616.766 = ₽1,197,377 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was ₽1,361,182 Mil.
Total Liabilities was ₽422,834 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(397696.354 - 244872.713)/899123.51
=0.17

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=982078.578/899123.51
=1.0923

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(467730.448 - -4070.071)/899123.51
=0.5247

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1361182.398/422834.253
=3.2192

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1197376.713/899123.51
=1.3317

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Novolipetsk Steel PJSC has a Altman Z-Score of 6.73 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Novolipetsk Steel PJSC  (MIC:NLMK) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Novolipetsk Steel PJSC Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Novolipetsk Steel PJSC (MIC:NLMK) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2, Metallurgov Sq., Lipetsk, RUS, 398040
Novolipetsk Steel PJSC is a Russia-based steelmaker with production assets located in Russia, Europe, and the United States. The company's metal products are used in various industries, from construction and engineering to the manufacture of power-generating equipment and off shore wind turbines. The company operates through six segments, namely Mining, Russian flat products, Russian long products, NLMK USA, NLMK DanSteel and Plates Distribution Network, and Investments in NBH. Russian flat products for over half of the company's revenue. Russia, Europe, North America, and the Middle East are the four largest markets for the company.

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