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Altimmune (Altimmune) Altman Z-Score

: 13.96 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 14.39 is strong.

Altimmune has a Altman Z-Score of 13.96, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Altimmune's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ALT' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.01   Med: 8.55   Max: 25.48
Current: 14.39

During the past 13 years, Altimmune's highest Altman Z-Score was 25.48. The lowest was -3.01. And the median was 8.55.


Altimmune Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Altimmune's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Altimmune Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.89 12.37 9.12 19.55 25.48

Altimmune Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.55 2.97 3.55 0.90 25.48

Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Altimmune's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Altimmune Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Altimmune's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Altimmune's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Altimmune Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Altimmune's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.9375+1.4*-2.2139+3.3*-0.4197+0.6*28.8665+1.0*0.002
=13.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $210.64 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $209.63 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $12.14 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-466.33 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -31.641 + -20.671 + -16.061 + -20.074 = $-88.45 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.002 + -0.029 + -0.002 + -0.002 = $-0.04 Mil.
Revenue was 0.037 + 0.362 + 0.006 + 0.021 = $0.43 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $477.48 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $16.54 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(209.626 - 12.143)/210.64
=0.9375

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-466.331/210.64
=-2.2139

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-88.447 - -0.035)/210.64
=-0.4197

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=477.481/16.541
=28.8665

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=0.426/210.64
=0.002

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Altimmune has a Altman Z-Score of 13.96 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Altimmune  (NAS:ALT) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Altimmune Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Altimmune (Altimmune) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
910 Clopper Road, Suite 201S, Gaithersburg, MD, USA, 20878
Altimmune Inc is engaged on developing treatments for obesity and liver diseases. The Company's pipeline includes next generation peptide therapeutics for obesity and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) (for both, pemvidutide, formerly known as ALT-801), and for chronic hepatitis B (HepTcell). The Company is managed and operates as a single business focused on the research and development of treatments for various diseases and disorders, and vaccines.
Executives
David Drutz director 8601 SIX FORKS ROAD, SUITE 160, RALEIGH NC 27615
Richard I Eisenstadt officer: Chief Financial Officer 4819 EMPEROR BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, DURHAM NC 27703
Catherine A. Sohn director C/O JAZZ PHARMACEUTICALS PLC, 5TH FL, WATERLOO EXCHANGE, WATERLOO RD, DUBLIN L2 4 L2
Matthew Scott Harris officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O ALTIMMUNE, INC., 910 CLOPPER ROAD, SUITE 201S, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Raymond M Jordt officer: Chief Business Officer ALTIMMUNE, INC., 910 CLOPPER ROAD, SUITE 201S, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Wayne Pisano director C/O PROVENTION BIO, INC., P.O. BOX 666, OLDWICK NJ 08858
Vipin K Garg director, officer: President and CEO 4819 EMPEROR BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, DURHAM NC 27703
John Gill director C/O PHARMATHENE, INC, ONE PARK PLACE, SUITE 450, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
M Scot Roberts officer: Chief Scientific Officer 910 CLOPPER ROAD, SUITE 201S, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Diane Jorkasky director 60 MANOR AVENUE, WELLESLEY MA 02482
Philip Hodges director 19 FIRSTFIELD RD., SUITE 200, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Vhcp Management Iii, Llc 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 530 FIFTH AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Vhcp Co-investment Holdings Iii, Llc 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018