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Aqua Metals (Aqua Metals) Altman Z-Score

: -6.69 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -6.59 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Aqua Metals has a Altman Z-Score of -6.69, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aqua Metals's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AQMS' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.59   Med: -0.17   Max: 20.32
Current: -6.59

During the past 10 years, Aqua Metals's highest Altman Z-Score was 20.32. The lowest was -6.59. And the median was -0.17.


Aqua Metals Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aqua Metals's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aqua Metals Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.08 20.32 -0.17 -4.71 -4.57

Aqua Metals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.71 -6.28 - 3.36 -4.57

Competitive Comparison

For the Waste Management subindustry, Aqua Metals's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aqua Metals Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Waste Management industry and Industrials sector, Aqua Metals's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aqua Metals's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Aqua Metals Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Aqua Metals's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4073+1.4*-6.6433+3.3*-0.694+0.6*7.3591+1.0*0.0007
=-6.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $33.60 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $18.30 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4.61 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-223.22 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -10.026 + -4.547 + -4.759 + -4.606 = $-23.94 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.103 + -0.087 + -0.255 + -0.176 = $-0.62 Mil.
Revenue was 0 + 0.025 + 0 + 0 = $0.03 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $55.46 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $7.54 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(18.299 - 4.613)/33.6
=0.4073

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-223.215/33.6
=-6.6433

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-23.938 - -0.621)/33.6
=-0.694

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=55.458/7.536
=7.3591

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=0.025/33.6
=0.0007

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Aqua Metals has a Altman Z-Score of -6.69 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Aqua Metals  (NAS:AQMS) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Aqua Metals Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Aqua Metals (Aqua Metals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5370 Kietzke Lane, Suite 201, Reno, NV, USA, 89511
Aqua Metals Inc is a United States-based company engaged in the business of recycling Lead through a novel, proprietary and patent-pending process that it developed and named AquaRefining. The company's breakthrough, AquaRefining, delivers a product, at a higher yield, eliminates toxic waste, reduces permitting and is less expensive to build than smelting. AquaRefining process will provide for the recycling of Lead acid batteries and the production of a pure grade Lead with a significantly lower cost of production, and with fewer environmental and regulatory issues, than conventional methods of Lead production.
Executives
Vincent L Divito director 329 DOLPHIN LANE, WEST BABYLON NY 11704
Sung Yi director C/O AQUA METALS.COM, 5370 KIETZKE LN SUITE 201, RENO NV 89511
Peifang Zhang director 21640 E. BRIARWOOD DR., AURORA CO 80016
Edward J Smith director 635 HOOD ROAD, MARKHAM A6 L3R 4N6
David Kanen director 6429 NW 65TH WAY, PARKLAND FL 33067
Philotimo Fund, Lp other: Passive Investor 5850 CORAL RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 309, CORAL SPRINGS FL 33076
Kanen Wealth Management Llc other: Passive Investor 5850 CORAL RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 309, CORAL SPRINGS FL 33076
David Mcmurtry officer: Chief Business Officer C/O AQUA METALS.COM, 5370 KIETZKE LN SUITE 201, RENO NV 89511
Stephen Cotton officer: Chief Commercial Officer 1010 ATLANTIC AVE, ALAMEDA CA 94501
Benjamin S. Taecker officer: Chief Eng and Opr Officer C/O AQUA METALS, 2500 PERU DR., MCCARRAN NV 89437
Judd Merrill officer: Chief Financial Officer 2425 CROOKED CANYON CT., RENO NV 89521
S. Shariq Yosufzai director 171 ALPINE TERRACE, OAKLAND CA 94618
Gayle J Gibson director 2500 PERU DRIVE, MCCARRAN NV 89437
Susanne Meline director P.O. BOX 515381, #86506, LOS ANGELES CA 90051
Sushil Kapoor director AQUA METALS, INC., 1010 ATLANTIC AVE STE 101, ALAMEDA CA 94501