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Aytu BioPharma (Aytu BioPharma) Altman Z-Score

: -2.85 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -2.86 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Aytu BioPharma has a Altman Z-Score of -2.85, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aytu BioPharma's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AYTU' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -203.25   Med: -2.94   Max: 118.77
Current: -2.86

During the past 13 years, Aytu BioPharma's highest Altman Z-Score was 118.77. The lowest was -203.25. And the median was -2.94.


Aytu BioPharma Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aytu BioPharma's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aytu BioPharma Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.59 1.00 -0.79 -4.70 -2.66

Aytu BioPharma Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.85 -2.86 -2.66 -3.00 -2.85

Competitive Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Aytu BioPharma's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aytu BioPharma Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Aytu BioPharma's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aytu BioPharma's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Aytu BioPharma Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Aytu BioPharma's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0547+1.4*-2.3807+3.3*-0.1308+0.6*0.1618+1.0*0.7505
=-2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $131.25 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $71.37 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $64.19 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-312.47 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 0.608 + -8.12 + -2.457 + -7.2 = $-17.17 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was 22.934 + 22.099 + 30.732 + 22.733 = $98.50 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $15.92 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $98.40 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(71.371 - 64.187)/131.249
=0.0547

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-312.469/131.249
=-2.3807

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-17.169 - 0)/131.249
=-0.1308

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=15.922/98.396
=0.1618

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=98.498/131.249
=0.7505

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Aytu BioPharma has a Altman Z-Score of -2.85 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Aytu BioPharma  (NAS:AYTU) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Aytu BioPharma Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Aytu BioPharma (Aytu BioPharma) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7900 East Union Avenue, Suite 920, Denver, CO, USA, 80237
Aytu BioPharma Inc is a specialty pharmaceutical company with a commercial portfolio of prescription therapeutics and consumer health products. The company's primary prescription products treat attention deficit hyperactivity disorder and other common pediatric conditions. It is building a complimentary therapeutic development pipeline including a prospective treatment (AR101/enzastaurin) for vascular Ehlers-Danlos Syndrome, a rare genetic disease resulting in high morbidity and a significantly shortened lifespan. AR101/enzastaurin has received Orphan Drug designation from the FDA. The company operates in two segments Rx Segment, consisting of prescription pharmaceutical products and Consumer Health segments of which it generates maximum revenue from the Rx segment.
Executives
Christopher Brooke officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O AYTU BIOPHARMA, INC., 373 INVERNESS PARKWAY, SUITE 206, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Jarrett Disbrow officer: Chief Business Officer 373 INVERNESS PARKWAY, SUITE 200, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
John Jr. Donofrio director C/O AYTU BIOSCIENCE, INC., 373 INVERNESS PARKWAY, SUITE 200, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Carl Dockery director P.O. BOX 2477, LAKELAND FL 33806-2477
Vivian H Liu director
Mark K Oki officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ALEXZA PHARMACEUTICALS INC, 2091 STIERLIN COURT, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Joshua R. Disbrow director, officer: Chief Executive Officer AMPIO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 5445 DTC PARKWAY, SUITE 925, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Abhinav Jain director C/O AYTU BIOPHARMA, INC., 373 INVERNESS PARKWAY, SUITE 206, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Wilmot B. Harkey 10 percent owner C/O NANTAHALA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 130 MAIN ST. 2ND FLOOR, NEW CANAAN CT 06840
Daniel Mack 10 percent owner C/O NANTAHALA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 130 MAIN ST. 2ND FLOOR, NEW CANAAN CT 06840
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 130 MAIN ST., 2ND FLOOR, NEW CANAAN CT 06840
Greg Pyszczymuka officer: Chief Commerical Officer C/O AYTU BIOPHARMA, INC., 373 INVERNESS PARKWAY, SUITE 206, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Richard I Eisenstadt officer: Chief Financial Officer 4819 EMPEROR BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, DURHAM NC 27703
Gerald W. Mclaughlin director 227 WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 200, CONSHOHOCKEN PA 19428
Beth Hecht director C/O NEOS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2940 N. HIGHWAY 360, GRAND PRAIRIE TX 75050