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Avalo Therapeutics (Avalo Therapeutics) Altman Z-Score : -25.77 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Avalo Therapeutics Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -25.82 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Avalo Therapeutics has a Altman Z-Score of -25.77, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avalo Therapeutics's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AVTX' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -26.14   Med: -3.65   Max: 1764.79
Current: -25.82

During the past 11 years, Avalo Therapeutics's highest Altman Z-Score was 1764.79. The lowest was -26.14. And the median was -3.65.


Avalo Therapeutics Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avalo Therapeutics's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avalo Therapeutics Altman Z-Score Chart

Avalo Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,764.79 294.69 -5.25 -15.47 -26.14

Avalo Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -15.47 -13.78 -21.38 -17.57 -26.14

Competitive Comparison of Avalo Therapeutics's Altman Z-Score

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Avalo Therapeutics's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avalo Therapeutics's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Avalo Therapeutics's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avalo Therapeutics's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Avalo Therapeutics Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Avalo Therapeutics's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1799+1.4*-15.9641+3.3*-1.3392+0.6*1.1534+1.0*0.0917
=-25.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $20.99 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8.40 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4.62 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-335.13 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -8.177 + -5.22 + -8.186 + -9.947 = $-31.53 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0.081 + -1.553 + -0.996 + -0.949 = $-3.42 Mil.
Revenue was 0.571 + 0.236 + 0.643 + 0.475 = $1.93 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $15.79 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $13.69 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(8.395 - 4.618)/20.993
=0.1799

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-335.134/20.993
=-15.9641

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-31.53 - -3.417)/20.993
=-1.3392

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=15.789/13.689
=1.1534

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1.925/20.993
=0.0917

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Avalo Therapeutics has a Altman Z-Score of -25.77 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Avalo Therapeutics  (NAS:AVTX) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Avalo Therapeutics Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Avalo Therapeutics (Avalo Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
540 Gaither Road, Suite 400, Rockville, MD, USA, 20850
Avalo Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage precision medicine company that discovers, develops, and commercializes targeted therapeutics for patients with significant unmet clinical needs in immunology, immuno-oncology, and rare genetic diseases. Its pipeline consists of product candidates advancing in development with ongoing clinical programs: AVTX-002, AVTX-007, and AVTX-006.
Executives
Armistice Capital Master Fund Ltd. director, 10 percent owner C/O ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC, 510 MADISON AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Caissa Capital Management Ltd. 10 percent owner PALM GROVE HOUSE, WICKHAMS CAY 1 ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Christopher Ryan Sullivan officer: Interim CFO C/O CERECOR INC., 400 E. PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Garry Arthur Neil officer: Chief Medical Officer 555 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 365, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Mitchell Chan director C/O VIELA BIO, INC., ONE MEDIMMUNE WAY, FIRST FLOOR, AREA TWO, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Stephen Smolinski officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O SELECTA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 480 ARSENAL WAY, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Magnus Persson director 400 E. PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Joseph M Miller director C/O CERECOR INC., 400 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Gilla Kaplan director C/O CELGENE CORPORATION, 86 MORRIS AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901
June Sherie Almenoff director C/O BRAINSTORM CELL THERAPEUTICS INC., 1325 AVENUE OF AMERICAS 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Schond L. Greenway officer: CFO & Treasurer C/O CERECOR, INC., 540 GAITHER ROAD, SUITE 400, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
H Jeffrey Wilkins officer: Chief Medical Officer 600 LEE ROAD, SUITE 100, WAYNE PA 19087
Harrell James Archie Jr officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O CERECOR INC., 400 E. PRATT STREET, SUITE 606, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Illya Keith Maher director C/O ARMISTICE CAPITAL, 510 MADISON AVE., 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Steven Boyd director, 10 percent owner 510 MADISON AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022

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