GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Natural Alternatives International Inc (NAS:NAII) » Definitions » Altman Z-Score

Natural Alternatives International (Natural Alternatives International) Altman Z-Score : 2.06 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1993. Start your Free Trial

What is Natural Alternatives International Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.06 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Natural Alternatives International has a Altman Z-Score of 2.06, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Natural Alternatives International is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Natural Alternatives International's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NAII' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.06   Med: 5.19   Max: 7.67
Current: 2.06

During the past 13 years, Natural Alternatives International's highest Altman Z-Score was 7.67. The lowest was 2.06. And the median was 5.19.


Natural Alternatives International Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Natural Alternatives International's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Natural Alternatives International Altman Z-Score Chart

Natural Alternatives International Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.26 2.68 4.80 3.33 3.03

Natural Alternatives International Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.31 2.99 3.03 2.28 2.07

Competitive Comparison of Natural Alternatives International's Altman Z-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Natural Alternatives International's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natural Alternatives International's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Natural Alternatives International's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natural Alternatives International's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Natural Alternatives International Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Natural Alternatives International's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2631+1.4*0.4907+3.3*-0.0275+0.6*0.5458+1.0*0.8204
=2.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $155.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $54.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $13.4 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $76.4 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -3.831 + -0.884 + 2.739 + -2.788 = $-4.8 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.07 + -0.093 + -0.205 + -0.116 = $-0.5 Mil.
Revenue was 25.202 + 33.969 + 35.894 + 32.699 = $127.8 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $38.4 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $70.3 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(54.393 - 13.412)/155.733
=0.2631

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=76.418/155.733
=0.4907

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-4.764 - -0.484)/155.733
=-0.0275

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=38.360/70.278
=0.5458

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=127.764/155.733
=0.8204

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Natural Alternatives International has a Altman Z-Score of 2.06 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Natural Alternatives International  (NAS:NAII) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Natural Alternatives International Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Natural Alternatives International's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Natural Alternatives International (Natural Alternatives International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1535 Faraday Avenue, Carlsbad, CA, USA, 92008
Natural Alternatives International Inc is engaged in formulating, manufacturing, and marketing nutritional supplements. It offers vitamins, minerals, herbs, and other supplements, as well as other healthcare products to customers within the United States and internationally. Its business activity is operated through Private-Label Contract Manufacturing and Patent & Trademark Licensing segment. The company derives the majority of revenue from Private-Label Contract Manufacturing which is engaged in providing manufacturing services to companies that market and distribute nutritional supplements and other healthcare products, whereas the Patent and Trademark Licensing segment includes royalty income from its license and supply agreements associated with the sale.
Executives
Mark A Ledoux director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO/Chairman 1185 LINDA VISTA DR, SAN MARCOS CA 92069
Joe E Davis director 3436 CARIBETH DR, ENCINO CA 91436
Lee G Weldon director 1185 LINDA VISTA DRIVE, SAN MARCAS CA 92069
Alan G Dunn director 1185 LINDA VISTA DR., SUITE A, SAN MARCOS X1 92078
Michael E Fortin officer: Chief Financial Officer 1185 LINDA VISTA DRIVE, SAN MARCOS CA 92078
Kenneth Wolf officer: Chief Financial Officer 12626 HIGH BLUFF DRIVE, SUITE 440, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Alan J Lane director 41090 AVENIDA VERDE, TEMECULA CA 92591
Guru Ramanathan director C/O GNC HOLDINGS, INC., 300 SIXTH AVENUE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Laura Kay Matherly director 1535 FARADAY AVENUE, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Edward Borg 10 percent owner 600 SOUTH US HIGHWAY 1, APT. 609, JUPITER FL 33477
Alvin Mccurdy officer: V.P. of Operations 1185 LINDA VISTA DR., SUITE A, SAN MARCOS CA 92078
Carl J Terranova other: Member of 13(d) 10% group 159 CHRYSTIE ST, NEW YORK NY 10002
Thomas H Hansen 10 percent owner
John Dullea officer: President, RHL (Subsidiary) 12189 CAMINITO CORRIENTE, SAN DIEGO CA 92128
Randell Weaver officer: President

Natural Alternatives International (Natural Alternatives International) Headlines

From GuruFocus