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Northwest Pipe Co (Northwest Pipe Co) Altman Z-Score

: 2.51 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.51 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Northwest Pipe Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.51, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Northwest Pipe Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Northwest Pipe Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NWPX' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.19   Med: 3.75   Max: 5.57
Current: 2.51

During the past 13 years, Northwest Pipe Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.57. The lowest was 2.19. And the median was 3.75.


Northwest Pipe Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Northwest Pipe Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Northwest Pipe Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.57 3.64 2.19 2.54 2.49

Northwest Pipe Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.54 2.55 2.46 2.52 2.49

Competitive Comparison

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Northwest Pipe Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Northwest Pipe Co Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Northwest Pipe Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Northwest Pipe Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Northwest Pipe Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Northwest Pipe Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2949+1.4*0.3548+3.3*0.0571+0.6*1.2135+1.0*0.7432
=2.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $597.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $272.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $96.2 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $212.1 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 7.992 + 7.834 + 10.14 + 3.313 = $29.3 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1.133 + -1.162 + -1.191 + -1.369 = $-4.9 Mil.
Revenue was 110.164 + 118.722 + 116.372 + 99.097 = $444.4 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $312.5 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $257.5 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(272.484 - 96.194)/597.881
=0.2949

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=212.125/597.881
=0.3548

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(29.279 - -4.855)/597.881
=0.0571

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=312.496/257.521
=1.2135

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=444.355/597.881
=0.7432

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Northwest Pipe Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.51 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Northwest Pipe Co  (NAS:NWPX) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Northwest Pipe Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Northwest Pipe Co (Northwest Pipe Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
201 North East Park Plaza Drive, Suite 100, Vancouver, WA, USA, 98684
Northwest Pipe Co is a manufacturer of water-related infrastructure products. The company has two operating segments; Engineered Steel Pressure Pipe segment manufactures large-diameter, high-pressure steel pipeline systems for use in water infrastructure applications, which are related to drinking water systems. These products are also used for hydroelectric power systems, wastewater systems, seismic resiliency, and other applications, and Precast Infrastructure and Engineered Systems segment manufacture stormwater and wastewater technology products, high-quality precast and reinforced concrete products, including manholes, box culverts, vaults, and catch basins, pump lift stations, oil water separators, biofiltration, and other environmental and engineered solutions.
Executives
Irma Lockridge director C/O TRINITY CAPITAL INC., 1 N. 1ST STREET, 3RD FLOOR, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Michael C Franson director 1401 17TH STREET 750, DENVER CO 80202
Richard A Roman director 1984 SW 16TH AVE, PORTLAND OR 97201
Scott J Montross officer: President & CEO
Michael Wray officer: Sr VP/GM of Precast 201 NE PARK PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 100, VANCOUVER WA 98684
Keith R Larson director 11 HILLSHIRE DRIVE, LAKE OSWEGO OR 97034
Amanda Kulesa director 201 NE PARK PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 100, VANCOUVER WA 98684
Michelle Galanter Applebaum director 5721 SE COLUMBIA WAY SUITE 200, VANCOUVER WA 98661
Megan A. Kendrick officer: VP of Human Resources 5721 SE COLUMBIA WAY SUITE 200, VANCOUVER WA 98661
William S. Yearsley director 833 WEST SOUTH BOULDER ROAD, LOUISVILLE CO 80027
Eric Stokes officer: Sr. VP of Sales & Marketing 201 NE PARK PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 100, VANCOUVER WA 98684
John Paschal director 201 NE PARK PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 100, VANCOUVER WA 98684
Miles Brittain other: VP of Operations 201 NE PARK PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 100, VANCOUVER WA 98684
Aaron Wilkins officer: VP of Finance &Corp Controller 5721 SE COLUMBIA WAY SUITE 200, VANCOUVER WA 98661
James E Declusin director OREGON STEEL MILLS INC, 1000 SW BROADWAY STE 2200, PORTLAND OR 97205