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O'Reilly Automotive (O'Reilly Automotive) Altman Z-Score

: 3.88 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.88 is strong.

O'Reilly Automotive has a Altman Z-Score of 3.88, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for O'Reilly Automotive's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ORLY' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.16   Med: 3.82   Max: 5.23
Current: 3.88

During the past 13 years, O'Reilly Automotive's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.23. The lowest was 3.16. And the median was 3.82.


O'Reilly Automotive Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for O'Reilly Automotive's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

O'Reilly Automotive Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.28 3.16 4.07 3.77 3.56

O'Reilly Automotive Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.77 3.52 3.70 3.51 3.56

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, O'Reilly Automotive's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


O'Reilly Automotive Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, O'Reilly Automotive's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where O'Reilly Automotive's Altman Z-Score falls into.



O'Reilly Automotive Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

O'Reilly Automotive's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1516+1.4*-0.2257+3.3*0.2311+0.6*4.128+1.0*1.1398
=3.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $13,873 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,558 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $7,661 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-3,132 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 671.531 + 846.667 + 809.132 + 677.42 = $3,005 Mil.
Interest Expense was -56.148 + -51.361 + -49.587 + -44.572 = $-202 Mil.
Revenue was 3832.015 + 4203.38 + 4068.991 + 3707.864 = $15,812 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $64,447 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $15,612 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(5558.302 - 7661.353)/13872.995
=-0.1516

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-3131.532/13872.995
=-0.2257

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(3004.75 - -201.668)/13872.995
=0.2311

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=64446.897/15612.273
=4.128

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=15812.25/13872.995
=1.1398

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

O'Reilly Automotive has a Altman Z-Score of 3.88 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


O'Reilly Automotive  (NAS:ORLY) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


O'Reilly Automotive Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of O'Reilly Automotive's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


O'Reilly Automotive (O'Reilly Automotive) Business Description

Address
233 South Patterson Avenue, Springfield, MO, USA, 65802
O'Reilly Automotive is one of the largest sellers of aftermarket automotive parts, tools, and accessories, serving professional and DIY customers (44% and 56% of 2022 sales, respectively). The company sells branded as well as own-label products, with the latter category comprising nearly half of sales. O'Reilly had 5,971 stores as of the end of 2022, spread across 47 U.S. states and including 42 stores in Mexico. The firm serves professional and DIY customers through its stores and also employs approximately 725 sales personnel targeting commercial buyers.
Executives
Christopher Andrew Mancini officer: SVP OF CENTRAL STORE OPS/SALES 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVENUE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Dana Perlman director C/O 200 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Carl David Wilbanks officer: SVP OF MERCHANDISE 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Lawrence P Oreilly director 233 S PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
De Wild Tamara F. officer: SVP OF LEGAL & GENERAL COUNSEL 233 S PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Doug D Bragg officer: SVP OF CENTRAL STORE OPS/SALES 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Jay D Burchfield director 233 S PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Jonathan Wyatt Andrews officer: SVP OF HR & TRAINING 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVENUE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
John Raymond Murphy director 233 S PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Thomas Hendrickson director 16234 SANDSTONE DRIVE, MORRISON CO 80465
Scott Richard Ross officer: EVP & CIO 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVENUE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Gregory D Johnson officer: SVP of Distribution 233 SOUTH PATTERSON, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Gregory L Henslee officer: Co-President 233 S PATTERSON, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Andrea Weiss director 23 RAMRAPO COURT WEST, GLENROCK NJ 07452
Larry Dean Gray officer: SVP OF INVENTORY MANAGEMENT 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVENUE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802

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