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AVITA Medical (AVITA Medical) Altman Z-Score : -1.20 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is AVITA Medical Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -1.11 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

AVITA Medical has a Altman Z-Score of -1.20, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AVITA Medical's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

RCEL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -15.36   Med: 1.62   Max: 59.78
Current: -1.11

During the past 13 years, AVITA Medical's highest Altman Z-Score was 59.78. The lowest was -15.36. And the median was 1.62.


AVITA Medical Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AVITA Medical's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AVITA Medical Altman Z-Score Chart

AVITA Medical Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 59.78 35.31 29.29 4.03 0.06

AVITA Medical Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.03 10.38 10.31 7.50 0.06

Competitive Comparison of AVITA Medical's Altman Z-Score

For the Medical Devices subindustry, AVITA Medical's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AVITA Medical's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, AVITA Medical's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AVITA Medical's Altman Z-Score falls into.



AVITA Medical Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

AVITA Medical's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.8134+1.4*-2.669+3.3*-0.3061+0.6*3.5329+1.0*0.4491
=-1.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $111.64 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $104.01 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $13.20 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-297.97 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -7.053 + -8.701 + -10.371 + -9.19 = $-35.32 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1.122 + -0.01 + -0.007 + -0.004 = $-1.14 Mil.
Revenue was 14.195 + 13.645 + 11.753 + 10.55 = $50.14 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $221.10 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $62.58 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(104.006 - 13.199)/111.64
=0.8134

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-297.969/111.64
=-2.669

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-35.315 - -1.143)/111.64
=-0.3061

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=221.104/62.584
=3.5329

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=50.143/111.64
=0.4491

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

AVITA Medical has a Altman Z-Score of -1.20 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


AVITA Medical  (NAS:RCEL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AVITA Medical Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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AVITA Medical (AVITA Medical) Business Description

Address
28159 Avenue Stanford, Suite 220, Valencia, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 91355
Avita is a single product company. Its RECELL system is an innovative burn treatment device which creates Spray-on Skin from a small skin sample within 30 minutes, thus avoiding or reducing the need for skin grafts. It's approved for the treatment of adult patients in the U.S. with paediatric clinical trials and expanded indications in soft-tissue reconstruction and vitiligo underway. It is currently in roll-out across the approximately 136 U.S. burn centers. Despite having product approval in Australia, Europe, Canada, and China, Avita is not actively marketing in those territories and focussing instead on the U.S. region. However, it is expected to launch in Japan via distribution partner Cosmotec in second-half fiscal 2022. Avita is domiciled, and has its primary listing, in the U.S.
Executives
James Corbett director 2 GOODYEAR, IRVINE CA 92618
Jeremy Curnock Cook director TARGETED GENETICS CORP, 1100 OLIVE WAY STE 100, SEATTLE WA 98101
David D O'toole officer: CFO 1640 MARENGO STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90033
Donna Shiroma officer: General Counsel C/O AVITA MEDICAL, 28159 AVENUE STANFORD, SUITE 220, VALENCIA CA 91355
Cary Guy Vance director 800 EAST MIDDLEFIELD RD, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Robert Mcnamara director C/O LDR HOLDING CORPORATION, 13785 RESEARCH BOULEVARD, SUITE 200, AUSTIN TX 78750
Michael S Perry director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O BIOTRANSPLANT INC, 196 BOSTON AVE SUITE 2800, MEDFORD MA 02155
Suzanne Crowe director C/O AVITA MEDICAL, 28159 AVENUE STANFORD, SUITE 220, VALENCIA CA 91355
Jan Stern Reed director C/O JAN STERN REED BAXTER INTERNATIONAL, ONE BAXTER PARKWAY DF2 2W, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Michael Holder officer: Chief Financial Officer 6170 RESEARCH RD., STE 103, FRISCO TX 75034
Kathy M. Mcgee officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O AVITA MEDICAL, 28159 AVENUE STANFORD, SUITE 220, VALENCIA CA 91355
Sean Ekins officer: Sr. VP of Finance C/O AVITA MEDICAL, 28159 AVENUE STANFORD, SUITE 220, VALENCIA CA 91355
David Mcintyre officer: Chief Financial Officer SUITE 4 LEVEL 46 2 PARK STREET, SIDNEY C3 2000
Damien Mcdonald director 5 MERCHANT SQUARE, NORTH WHARF ROAD, LONDON X0 W21AY
Erin Liberto officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O AVITA MEDICAL, 28159 AVENUE STANFORD, SUITE 220, VALENCIA CA 91355