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Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory) Altman Z-Score : 2.38 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.37 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory has a Altman Z-Score of 2.38, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

RMCF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.73   Med: 5.9   Max: 8.68
Current: 2.37

During the past 13 years, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's highest Altman Z-Score was 8.68. The lowest was 1.73. And the median was 5.90.


Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Altman Z-Score Chart

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.68 5.53 5.00 5.91 3.77

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Quarterly Data
Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.05 3.77 3.82 3.68 2.59

Competitive Comparison of Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's Altman Z-Score

For the Confectioners subindustry, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.141+1.4*0.1094+3.3*-0.2442+0.6*2.5159+1.0*1.3552
=2.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Nov. 2023:
Total Assets was $21.28 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $10.08 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $7.08 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $2.33 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -0.757 + -0.999 + -1.527 + -1.942 = $-5.23 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.011 + -0.006 + -0.006 + -0.006 = $-0.03 Mil.
Revenue was 7.697 + 6.558 + 6.436 + 8.148 = $28.84 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $22.64 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $9.00 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(10.08 - 7.079)/21.28
=0.141

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2.327/21.28
=0.1094

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-5.225 - -0.029)/21.28
=-0.2442

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=22.641/8.999
=2.5159

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=28.839/21.28
=1.3552

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory has a Altman Z-Score of 2.38 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory  (NAS:RMCF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
265 Turner Drive, Durango, CO, USA, 81303
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Inc operates as a manufacturer of chocolate candies and confectionery products. The business activity of the firm functions through Franchising, Manufacturing, Retail Stores, U-Swirl Operations, and Other segments. Its products include varieties of Clusters, Caramels, Creams, Toffees, Mints, and Truffles. Geographically, the company and its subsidiaries have stores in Canada, South Korea, Panama, the Philippines, Qatar, and other countries.
Executives
Robert J Sarlls director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1703 N. RANDALL ROAD, ELGIN IL 60123-7820
Global Value Investment Corp. 10 percent owner 1433 N WATER STREET, SUITE 549, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Geygan Jeffrey Richart Geygan director 1433 N WATER STREET, SUITE 549, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Brett P Seabert director 265 TURNER DRIVE, DURANGO CO 81303
A Allen Arroyo officer: CFO C/O ROCKY MOUNTAIN CHOCOLATE FACTORY, 265 TURNER DRIVE, DURANGO CO 81303
Gvp 2021-a, Llc other: GVIC-Controlled Entity 1433 N WATER STREET, SUITE 400, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Gvp 2021-a, L.p. other: GVIC-Controlled Entity 1433 N WATER STREET, SUITE 400, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Kathleen Geygan other: Director of GVIC 1433 N WATER STREET, SUITE 549, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Stacy Wilke other: Officer of GVIC 1433 N WATER STREET, SUITE 549, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
James Geygan other: Officer of GVIC 1433 N WATER STREET, SUITE 549, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Mark O Riegel director 265 TURNER DRIVE, DURANGO CO 81303
Andrew Berger other: See Explanation of Responses 84 ELM STREET, WESTFIELD NJ 07090
Richard Degnan other: See footnote 1 2101 FREDRICK DOUGLAS BLVD, NEW YORK NY 10026
Suchit Majmudar other: See footnote 1 1200 SOUTH GARFIELD STREET, DENVER CO 80210
Mary Bradley other: See footnote 1 103 ST ANDREWS PLACE, NEWTOWN PA 18940

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