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Ulta Beauty (Ulta Beauty) Altman Z-Score

: 7.04 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 7 is strong.

Ulta Beauty has a Altman Z-Score of 7.04, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ulta Beauty's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ULTA' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.02   Med: 9.1   Max: 13.85
Current: 7

During the past 13 years, Ulta Beauty's highest Altman Z-Score was 13.85. The lowest was 5.02. And the median was 9.10.


Ulta Beauty Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ulta Beauty's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ulta Beauty Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.76 5.02 6.62 7.95 7.75

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.95 8.40 7.73 6.49 7.75

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Ulta Beauty's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ulta Beauty Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ulta Beauty's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ulta Beauty's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Ulta Beauty Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Ulta Beauty's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2065+1.4*0.2255+3.3*0.2971+0.6*5.8863+1.0*1.9638
=7.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $5,707 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,837 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,658 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $1,287 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 520.418 + 329.724 + 396.091 + 449.418 = $1,696 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Revenue was 3554.298 + 2488.933 + 2529.809 + 2634.263 = $11,207 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $20,176 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $3,428 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2836.518 - 1658.191)/5707.011
=0.2065

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1286.765/5707.011
=0.2255

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1695.651 - 0)/5707.011
=0.2971

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=20176.335/3427.683
=5.8863

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=11207.303/5707.011
=1.9638

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Ulta Beauty has a Altman Z-Score of 7.04 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Ulta Beauty  (NAS:ULTA) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Ulta Beauty Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ulta Beauty's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ulta Beauty (Ulta Beauty) Business Description

Address
1000 Remington Boulevard, Suite 120, Bolingbrook, IL, USA, 60440
With 1,355 stores at the end of fiscal 2022 and a partnership with Target, Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the U.S. The firm offers makeup (42% of 2022 sales), fragrances, skin care, and hair care products (21% of 2022 sales), and bath and body items. Ulta offers private-label products and merchandise from more than 500 vendors. It also offers salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow services, in all stores. Most Ulta stores are approximately 10,000 square feet and are in suburban strip centers. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.
Executives
Lorna Nagler director 2400 XENIUM LANE NORTH, PLYMOUTH MN 55441
Jodi J Caro officer: GC and Corporate Secretary 130 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Catherine Ann Halligan director 243 CASELLI AVENUE, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94114
Mrkonic George R Jr director C/O BORDERS GROUP INC, 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Kelly E Garcia director 30 FRANK LLOYD WRIGH DR, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Heidi G Petz director 101 W. PROSPECT AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Gisel Ruiz director C/O VITAL FARMS, INC., 3601 SOUTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE C100, AUSTIN TX 78704
Mike C. Smith director STITCH FIX, INC., ONE MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 1500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Michael R Macdonald director 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Patricia A Little director 999 W BIG BEAVER ROAD, TROY MI 48084
Michelle L Collins director C/O MOLEX INCORPORATED, 2222 WELLINGTON COURT, LISLE IL 60503
Anita Jane Ryan officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1000 REMINGTON BLVD., SUITE 120, BOLINGBROOK IL 60440
David C Kimbell director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 8410 W. BRYN MAWR, CHICAGO IL 60631
Scott M Settersten officer: Chief Financial Officer 1000 REMINGTON BLVD., SUITE 120, BOLINGBROOK IL 60440
Kecia Steelman officer: Chief Operating Officer 1000 REMINGTON BLVD SUITE 120, BOLINGBROOK IL 60440