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Netflix (NFLX) Altman Z-Score

: 7.44 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 7.59 is strong.

Netflix has a Altman Z-Score of 7.44, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Netflix's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NFLX' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.74   Med: 4.47   Max: 7.59
Current: 7.59

During the past 13 years, Netflix's highest Altman Z-Score was 7.59. The lowest was 3.74. And the median was 4.47.


Netflix Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Netflix's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Netflix Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.26 6.45 7.13 4.42 6.33

Netflix Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.42 4.92 5.80 5.34 6.33

Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Netflix's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Netflix Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Netflix's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Netflix's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Netflix Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Netflix's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0217+1.4*0.4635+3.3*0.1442+0.6*9.336+1.0*0.692
=7.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $48,732 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $9,918 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,861 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $22,589 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 1148.15 + 1909.049 + 1679.332 + 1468.874 = $6,205 Mil.
Interest Expense was -223.984 + -175.563 + -174.812 + -245.443 = $-820 Mil.
Revenue was 8832.825 + 8541.668 + 8187.301 + 8161.503 = $33,723 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $262,750 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $28,144 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(9918.133 - 8860.655)/48731.992
=0.0217

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=22589.286/48731.992
=0.4635

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(6205.405 - -819.802)/48731.992
=0.1442

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=262749.981/28143.679
=9.336

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=33723.297/48731.992
=0.692

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Netflix has a Altman Z-Score of 7.44 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Netflix  (NAS:NFLX) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Netflix Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Netflix's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Netflix (NFLX) Business Description

Address
121 Albright Way, Los Gatos, CA, USA, 95032
Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with almost 250 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm recently began introducing ad-supported subscription plans, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.
Executives
Reed Hastings director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, other: CEO 121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Ann Mather director
Gregory K Peters officer: Intl. Development Officer C/O NETFLIX, INC., 121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Richard N Barton director C/O IAC, 152 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
David A Hyman officer: General Counsel C/O NETFLIX, INC., 121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Theodore A Sarandos officer: Chief Content Officer C/O NETFLIX, INC, 121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Jay C Hoag director 250 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Timothy M Haley director 3000 SAND HILL ROAD, 2-290, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Jeffrey William Karbowski officer: Chief Accounting Officer 121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Kenneth A Barker officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ELECTRONIC ARTS INC., 209 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Dicus Marian Lee officer: Chief Marketing Officer 526 WEST 111TH STREET, APARTMENT 3C, NEW YORK NY 10025
Meabe Sergio Ezama officer: Chief Talent Officer 59 HILLSIDE ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Jessica Neal officer: Chief Talent Officer 100 WINCHESTER CIRCLE, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Strive Masiyiwa director 265 FRANKLIN STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
John Bozoma Saint officer: Chief Marketing Officer 9255 SUNSET BLVD 2ND FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90069

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