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ATI Physical Therapy (ATI Physical Therapy) Altman Z-Score

: -1.25 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -1.25 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

ATI Physical Therapy has a Altman Z-Score of -1.25, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for ATI Physical Therapy's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ATIP' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.55   Med: -1.65   Max: -1.25
Current: -1.25

During the past 5 years, ATI Physical Therapy's highest Altman Z-Score was -1.25. The lowest was -2.55. And the median was -1.65.


ATI Physical Therapy Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for ATI Physical Therapy's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ATI Physical Therapy Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
- - -1.65 -2.55 -1.25

ATI Physical Therapy Quarterly Data
Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.23 -1.96 -1.66 -1.25

Competitive Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, ATI Physical Therapy's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ATI Physical Therapy Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, ATI Physical Therapy's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ATI Physical Therapy's Altman Z-Score falls into.



ATI Physical Therapy Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

ATI Physical Therapy's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0122+1.4*-1.4047+3.3*-0.0025+0.6*0.0155+1.0*0.6967
=-1.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,003.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $168.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $156.4 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-1,409.3 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -2.222 + -14.48 + -21.66 + -25.148 = $-63.5 Mil.
Interest Expense was -14.943 + -15.478 + -16.682 + -13.936 = $-61.0 Mil.
Revenue was 182.292 + 177.455 + 172.337 + 166.932 = $699.0 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $17.0 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,099.1 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(168.638 - 156.447)/1003.281
=0.0122

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1409.306/1003.281
=-1.4047

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-63.51 - -61.039)/1003.281
=-0.0025

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=17.010/1099.136
=0.0155

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=699.016/1003.281
=0.6967

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

ATI Physical Therapy has a Altman Z-Score of -1.25 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


ATI Physical Therapy  (NYSE:ATIP) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


ATI Physical Therapy Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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ATI Physical Therapy (ATI Physical Therapy) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
790 Remington Boulevard, Bolingbrook, IL, USA, 60440
ATI Physical Therapy Inc is a recognized outpatient physical therapy provider in the United States specializing in outpatient rehabilitation and adjacent healthcare services. It offer a variety of services within the clinics, including physical therapy to treat spine, shoulder, knee and neck injuries or pain; work injury rehabilitation services, including work conditioning and work hardening; hand therapy; and other specialized treatment services.
Executives
Advent International Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 800 BOYLSTON STREET SUITE 3300, BOSTON MA 02199
Bruce J Richards 10 percent owner C/O MARATHON ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P., ONE BRYANT PARK, 38TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10036
Knighthead Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 280 PARK AVENUE, FLOOR 22E, NEW YORK NY 10017
Andrew Shannahan director 8501 WILLIAMS ROAD, ESTERO FL 33928
Marathon Asset Management Lp 10 percent owner ONE BRYANT PARK, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Knighthead Master Fund Lp 10 percent owner MOURANT OZANNES CORP. SVCS. CAYMAN LTD, 94 SOLARIS AVENUE, CAMANA BAY, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1108
Marathon Stepstone Master Fund Lp 10 percent owner C/O MARATHON ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P., ONE BRYANT PARK, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Marathon Distressed Credit Master Fund 10 percent owner C/O MARATHON ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P., ONE BRYANT PARK, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Louis Hanover 10 percent owner C/O MARATHON ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P., ONE BRYANT PARK, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Randy Raisman director 790 REMINGTON BOULEVARD, BOLINGBROOK, IL 60440
Onex Capital Solutions Gp, Llc 10 percent owner C/O ONEX CREDIT MANAGEMENT LLC, 930 SYLVAN AVENUE, ENGLEWOOD CLIFFS NJ 07632
Onex Capital Solutions Gp, Lp 10 percent owner C/O ONEX CREDIT MANAGEMENT LLC, 930 SYLVAN AVENUE, ENGLEWOOD CLIFFS NJ 07632
Onex Capital Solutions Holdings, Lp 10 percent owner C/O ONEX CREDIT MANAGEMENT LLC, 930 SYLVAN AVENUE, ENGLEWOOD CLIFFS NJ 07632
Khsu Spv Lp Llc 10 percent owner 280 PARK AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Kh Ankle Llc 10 percent owner 280 PARK AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017

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