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Designer Brands (Designer Brands) Altman Z-Score

: 1.95 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.93 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Designer Brands has a Altman Z-Score of 1.95, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Designer Brands is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Designer Brands's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

DBI' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.32   Med: 3.27   Max: 7.32
Current: 1.93

During the past 13 years, Designer Brands's highest Altman Z-Score was 7.32. The lowest was 0.32. And the median was 3.27.


Designer Brands Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Designer Brands's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Designer Brands Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.20 0.32 2.33 2.34 1.92

Designer Brands Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.34 2.11 2.09 1.97 1.92

Competitive Comparison

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Designer Brands's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Designer Brands Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Designer Brands's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Designer Brands's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Designer Brands Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Designer Brands's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0747+1.4*0.0476+3.3*0.0349+0.6*0.324+1.0*1.481
=1.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $2,076 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $777 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $622 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $99 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -46.008 + 19.192 + 54.334 + 12.679 = $40 Mil.
Interest Expense was -9.875 + -8.767 + -6.932 + -6.597 = $-32 Mil.
Revenue was 754.348 + 786.329 + 792.217 + 742.082 = $3,075 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $555 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,714 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(777.432 - 622.271)/2076.232
=0.0747

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=98.896/2076.232
=0.0476

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(40.197 - -32.171)/2076.232
=0.0349

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=555.231/1713.724
=0.324

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3074.976/2076.232
=1.481

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Designer Brands has a Altman Z-Score of 1.95 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Designer Brands  (NYSE:DBI) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Designer Brands Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Designer Brands (Designer Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
810 DSW Drive, Columbus, OH, USA, 43219
Designer Brands Inc is a designer, producer and retailer of footwear and accessories. The company operates in three reportable segments: the U.S. Retail segment, the Canada Retail segment, and the Brand Portfolio segment. The U.S. Retail segment operates the DSW Designer Shoe Warehouse banner through its direct-to-consumer U.S. stores and e-commerce site. The Canada Retail segment operates The Shoe Company and DSW banners through its direct-to-consumer Canada stores and e-commerce sites. The Brand Portfolio segment earns revenue from the sale of wholesale products to retailers, commissions for serving retailers as the design and buying agent for products under private labels and the sale of branded products through its direct-to-consumer e-commerce site at www.vincecamuto.com.
Executives
Deborah L Ferree officer: Pres. & Chief Mdsing Officer 4150 EAST FIFTH AVE., COLUMBUS OH 43219
Mark Haley officer: SVP, Controller & PAO 4055 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD., STE. 210, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
William L Jordan officer: SVP, General Counsel 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
James S. Weinberg officer: EVP; Chief Merchandising Ofcr 810 DSW DR,, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Jared A. Poff officer: SVP, Finance & Interim CFO DSW INC., 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Mary Turner officer: EVP; President, Shoe Company 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Harvey L Sonnenberg other: Director Nominee 399 THORNALL STREET, EDISON NJ 08837
Laura Denk officer: EVP;Pres DSW Designer ShoeWhse 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Tami Fersko director 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Richard A. Paul director 80 PINE STREET, SUITE 3202, NEW YORK NY 10005
Joanne Zaiac director DSW INC., 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Joanna T Lau director 30 MONUMENT SQUARE, SUITE 220, CONCORD MA 01742
Douglas M. Howe officer: EVP, President of DSW N56 W17000 RIDGEWOOD DRIVE, MENOMONEE FALLS WI 53051-5660
Jay L Schottenstein director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO 1800 MOLER ROAD, COLUMBUS OH 43207
Joseph A. Schottenstein director 4300 EAST FIFTH AVENUE, COLUMBUS OH 43219