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Emergent BioSolutions (Emergent BioSolutions) Altman Z-Score : -0.54 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Emergent BioSolutions Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -0.54 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Emergent BioSolutions has a Altman Z-Score of -0.54, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Emergent BioSolutions's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EBS' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.54   Med: 2.89   Max: 10.44
Current: -0.54

During the past 13 years, Emergent BioSolutions's highest Altman Z-Score was 10.44. The lowest was -0.54. And the median was 2.89.


Emergent BioSolutions Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Emergent BioSolutions's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Emergent BioSolutions Altman Z-Score Chart

Emergent BioSolutions Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.43 3.69 2.74 0.67 -0.54

Emergent BioSolutions Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.67 0.40 0.18 -0.44 -0.54

Competitive Comparison of Emergent BioSolutions's Altman Z-Score

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Emergent BioSolutions's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Emergent BioSolutions's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Emergent BioSolutions's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Emergent BioSolutions's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Emergent BioSolutions Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Emergent BioSolutions's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0155+1.4*-0.012+3.3*-0.3531+0.6*0.0973+1.0*0.5615
=-0.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,823 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $680 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $651 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-22 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -54.5 + -265.9 + -250.2 + -161.1 = $-732 Mil.
Interest Expense was -21.7 + -19.7 + -28.6 + -17.9 = $-88 Mil.
Revenue was 269.9 + 264 + 331.3 + 158.6 = $1,024 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $114 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,174 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(679.5 - 651.3)/1823.2
=0.0155

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-21.8/1823.2
=-0.012

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-731.7 - -87.9)/1823.2
=-0.3531

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=114.212/1173.9
=0.0973

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1023.8/1823.2
=0.5615

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Emergent BioSolutions has a Altman Z-Score of -0.54 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Emergent BioSolutions  (NYSE:EBS) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Emergent BioSolutions Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Emergent BioSolutions (Emergent BioSolutions) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
400 Professional Drive, Suite 400, Gaithersburg, MD, USA, 20879
Emergent BioSolutions Inc offers public health products to the government and healthcare providers. The company has four main units: vaccines, which produces specialty vaccines for public health threats; devices, such as nasal sprays, skin lotions, and injections; therapeutics, which includes antibody-based treatments; and contract development and manufacturing, which brings treatments to market through collaboration with the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries and the United States government. Most revenue comes from U.S. government purchases of vaccines, devices, and therapeutic products. The company operates in two reportable segments; the Products Segment and the Services Segment.
Executives
Neal Franklin Fowler director C/O EMERGENT BIOSOLUTIONS INC., 400 PROFESSIONAL DR. STE. 400, GAITHERSBURG MD 20879
Donald W Degolyer director 400 PROFESSIONAL DR. STE. 400, GAITHERSBURG MD 20879
William Hartzel officer: SVP, Bioservices 400 PROFESSIONAL DRIVE, STE. 400, GAITHERSBURG MD 20879
Miller H Haywood Iii officer: Interim CEO EMERGENT BIOSOLUTIONS INC., 400 PROFESSIONAL DR. STE. 400, GAITHERSBURG MD 20879
Kathryn C Zoon director 400 PROFESSIONAL DRIVE, SUITE 400, GAITHERSBURG MD 20879
Paul Anthony Williams officer: SVP, Products Business 400 PROFESSIONAL DRIVE, SUITE 400, GAITHERSBURG MD 20879
Ronald Richard director 2273 RESEARCH BLVD, SUITE 400, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Sujata Tyagi Dayal director C/O BIOMET, INC., P.O. BOX 587, WARSAW IN 46581-0587
Keith Katkin director C/O UROVANT SCIENCES, INC., 5281 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, SUITE 100, IRVINE CA 92617
Glessner Coleen officer: EVP, Quality & Ethics, and CPL 400 PROFESSIONAL DRIVE, SUITE 400, GAITHERSBURG MD 20879
Jennifer Lynne Fox officer: EVP, Ext Aff, GC, Corp Sec 400 PROFESSIONAL DRIVE, GAITHERSBURG MD 20879
Richard S Lindahl officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer NEXTEL, 2001 EDMUND HALLEY DR, RESTON VA 20191
Sue Bailey director 400 PROFESSIONAL DRIVE, SUITE 400, GAITHERSBURG MD 20850
Adam Havey officer: EVP, BioDefense Division 2273 RESEARCH BLVD SUITE 400, ROCKVILLE MD 20853
Robert Kramer officer: Interim, EVP, BioSciences 2273 RESEARCH BLVD, SUITE 400, ROCKVILLE MD 20850

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