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NRG Energy (NRG Energy) Altman Z-Score

: 1.63 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.63 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

NRG Energy has a Altman Z-Score of 1.63, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for NRG Energy's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NRG' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.03   Med: 1.29   Max: 2.14
Current: 1.63

During the past 13 years, NRG Energy's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.14. The lowest was 0.03. And the median was 1.29.


NRG Energy Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for NRG Energy's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NRG Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.54 1.48 2.14 1.69 1.50

NRG Energy Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.69 1.02 1.04 1.13 1.50

Competitive Comparison

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, NRG Energy's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NRG Energy Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, NRG Energy's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NRG Energy's Altman Z-Score falls into.



NRG Energy Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

NRG Energy's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0087+1.4*0.0315+3.3*0.0174+0.6*0.6772+1.0*1.107
=1.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $26,038 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $9,727 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $9,500 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $820 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 653 + 408 + 397 + -1671 = $-213 Mil.
Interest Expense was -195 + -173 + -151 + -148 = $-667 Mil.
Revenue was 6807 + 7946 + 6348 + 7722 = $28,823 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $15,665 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $23,132 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(9727 - 9500)/26038
=0.0087

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=820/26038
=0.0315

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-213 - -667)/26038
=0.0174

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=15664.877/23132
=0.6772

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=28823/26038
=1.107

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

NRG Energy has a Altman Z-Score of 1.63 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


NRG Energy  (NYSE:NRG) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


NRG Energy Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NRG Energy's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NRG Energy (NRG Energy) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
910 Louisiana Street, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
NRG Energy is one of the largest retail energy providers in the U.S., with 5.5 million customers. Its 2023 acquisition of Vivint Smart Home adds 1.9 million home services customers. NRG also is one of the largest U.S. independent power producers, with 13 gigawatts of coal, gas, and oil power generation capacity primarily in Texas. NRG exited Chapter 11 bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in December 2003.
Executives
Rasesh M. Patel officer: Exec VP, Vivint C/O VIVINT SMART HOME, INC., 4931 NORTH 300 WEST, PROVO UT 84604
Elisabeth B Donohue director C/O SYNACOR, INC., 40 LA RIVIERE DRIVE, SUITE 300, BUFFALO NY 14202
Heather Cox director 804 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Paul W Hobby director 4400 POST OAK PARKWAY, HOUSTON TX 77027
Lawrence S Coben director SUNRISE CAPITAL, 685 THIRD AVE 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017-4024
Mauricio Gutierrez officer: Exec VP & Chief Operating Ofc 211 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Antonio Carrillo director 500 N AKARD ST. SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75201
Bruce Chung officer: EVP, Strategy and NRG Services 804 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Emily Picarello officer: Vice Pres & Corp Controller 804 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Robert J Gaudette officer: Senior VP, Business Solutions 1155 PERIMETER CENTER WEST, ATLANTA GA 30342
Elizabeth R Killinger officer: Sr. VP & President,NRG Retail NRG ENERGY, INC., 211 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Christopher Moser officer: Exec Vice Pres, Operations 804 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
David Callen officer: Chief Accounting Offficer NRG ENERGY, INC., 211 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Alberto Fornaro officer: Executive Vice Pres & CFO 1415 W. 22ND STREET, SUITE 1100, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Gaetan Frotte officer: Interim CFO, Sr VP & Treasurer 804 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540

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