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Phillips 66 (Phillips 66) Altman Z-Score

: 3.96 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.97 is strong.

Phillips 66 has a Altman Z-Score of 3.96, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Phillips 66's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PSX' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.96   Med: 3.8   Max: 5.01
Current: 3.97

During the past 13 years, Phillips 66's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.01. The lowest was 1.96. And the median was 3.80.


Phillips 66 Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Phillips 66's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Phillips 66 Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.61 1.96 3.15 4.13 3.82

Phillips 66 Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.13 4.18 3.93 3.70 3.82

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Phillips 66's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Phillips 66 Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Phillips 66's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Phillips 66's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Phillips 66 Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Phillips 66's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0541+1.4*0.4046+3.3*0.1377+0.6*1.5294+1.0*1.9523
=3.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $75,501 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $19,941 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $15,856 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $30,550 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 1761 + 2813 + 2244 + 2651 = $9,469 Mil.
Interest Expense was -228 + -227 + -273 + -198 = $-926 Mil.
Revenue was 38270 + 39643 + 35090 + 34396 = $147,399 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $67,064 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $43,851 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(19941 - 15856)/75501
=0.0541

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=30550/75501
=0.4046

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(9469 - -926)/75501
=0.1377

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=67063.620/43851
=1.5294

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=147399/75501
=1.9523

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Phillips 66 has a Altman Z-Score of 3.96 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Phillips 66  (NYSE:PSX) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Phillips 66 Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Phillips 66's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Phillips 66 (Phillips 66) Business Description

Address
2331 CityWest Boulevard, Houston, TX, USA, 77042
Phillips 66 is an independent refiner with 12 refineries that have a total crude throughput capacity of 1.9 million barrels per day, or mmb/d. In 2023, the Rodeo, California, facility will cease operations and be converted to produce renewable diesel. The midstream segment comprises extensive transportation and NGL processing assets and includes DCP Midstream, which holds 600 mbd of NGL fractionation and 22,000 miles of pipeline. Its CPChem chemical joint venture operates facilities in the United States and the Middle East and primarily produces olefins and polyolefins.
Executives
Zhanna Golodryga officer: Executive Vice President PO BOX 10247, BIRMINGHAM AL 35202-0247
Vanessa Allen Sutherland officer: EVP, GC and Secretary 650 W PEACHTREE ST NW, ATLANTA GA 30308
Joseph Scott Pruitt officer: Vice President and Controller 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Kevin J Mitchell officer: Exec. VP, Finance and CFO 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042
Timothy D. Roberts officer: Executive Vice President C/O PHILLIPS 66 PARTNERS LP, 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042
Greg C. Garland officer: Chairman, Pres. and CEO-Desig 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Brian Mandell officer: Senior Vice President 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
Gregory Hayes director 870 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Paula Ann Johnson officer: SVP, Gen Counsel & Sec (Desig) 600 N. DAIRY ASHFORD, HOUSTON TX 77079
Richard G Harbison officer: Senior VP, Refining 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Robert A Herman officer: Executive Vice President 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, 9TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77042
Douglas T Terreson director 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Denise R Singleton director 3100 SANDERS ROAD, SUITE 301, NORTHBROOK IL 60062
Mark E Lashier officer: President and COO 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Charles M Holley director

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