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Spirit Airlines (Spirit Airlines) Altman Z-Score : 0.44 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Spirit Airlines Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.44 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Spirit Airlines has a Altman Z-Score of 0.44, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Spirit Airlines's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAVE' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.44   Med: 1.84   Max: 8.23
Current: 0.44

During the past 13 years, Spirit Airlines's highest Altman Z-Score was 8.23. The lowest was 0.44. And the median was 1.84.


Spirit Airlines Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Spirit Airlines's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Spirit Airlines Altman Z-Score Chart

Spirit Airlines Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.57 0.65 0.70 0.63 0.54

Spirit Airlines Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.54 0.54

Competitive Comparison of Spirit Airlines's Altman Z-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Spirit Airlines's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Spirit Airlines's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Spirit Airlines's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Spirit Airlines's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Spirit Airlines Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Spirit Airlines's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0169+1.4*0.006+3.3*-0.0456+0.6*0.0486+1.0*0.5694
=0.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $9,417 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,512 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,672 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $57 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -228.274 + -203.645 + 14.972 + -141.648 = $-559 Mil.
Interest Expense was -29.65 + -29.886 + -30.257 + -39.752 = $-130 Mil.
Revenue was 1321.76 + 1258.543 + 1432.472 + 1349.774 = $5,363 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $403 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $8,283 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1512.127 - 1671.592)/9417.237
=-0.0169

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=56.755/9417.237
=0.006

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-558.595 - -129.545)/9417.237
=-0.0456

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=402.879/8282.895
=0.0486

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=5362.549/9417.237
=0.5694

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Spirit Airlines has a Altman Z-Score of 0.44 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Spirit Airlines  (NYSE:SAVE) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Spirit Airlines Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Spirit Airlines (Spirit Airlines) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2800 Executive Way, Miramar, FL, USA, 33025
Spirit Airlines Inc serves the United States, Latin America, and Caribbean as an airline operator. It primarily offers customers unbundled base fares to strip out any unneeded travel amenities. If needed, a customer can elect for additional options at an extra charge. Flight crews are entirely interchangeable across all aircraft, and maintenance and other support services are simplified due to not having an overly complex fleet. The company has one operating segment, air transportation, owing to its system wide route structure. It may decide to expand its network if a market is underserved or overpriced. The majority of revenue is derived from the United States.
Executives
Rocky Wiggins officer: SVP and CIO C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, INC., 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Melinda C Grindle officer: SVP & CHRO C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, INC., 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Robert D Johnson director HONEYWELL, 1944 E SKY HARBOR CIRCLE, PHOENIX AZ 85034
Brian J. Mcmenamy officer: VP & Controller C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, INC., 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Laurie Villa officer: SVP and CHRO C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, INC., 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
John A. Bendoraitis officer: EVP and COO C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, INC., 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Thomas C Canfield officer: SVP, GC & Secretary C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, INC., 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Kevin Blake Vanier officer: VP of FP & A C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, INC., 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Christine P Richards director 942 SOUTH SHADY GROVE ROAD, MEMPHIS TN 38120
Mark B Dunkerley director
H. Mcintyre Gardner director C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Christie Edward M Iii officer: Chief Financial Officer S/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, INC., 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Robert L Fornaro director C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, INC., 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Matthew H Klein officer: SVP and CCO C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, INC., 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Dawn M. Zier director 600 OFFICE CENTER DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034