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Simon Property Group (Simon Property Group) Altman Z-Score

: 1.16 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.16 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Simon Property Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.16, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SPG' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.58   Med: 1.34   Max: 1.66
Current: 1.16

During the past 13 years, Simon Property Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.66. The lowest was 0.58. And the median was 1.34.


Simon Property Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Simon Property Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.17 0.58 1.28 0.99 1.17

Simon Property Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.99 0.94 0.95 0.90 1.17

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Simon Property Group Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Simon Property Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0039+1.4*-0.1778+3.3*0.1037+0.6*1.4924+1.0*0.1651
=1.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $34,283 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,588 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,456 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-6,096 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 901.118 + 723.98 + 567.992 + 505.802 = $2,699 Mil.
Interest Expense was -224.923 + -212.21 + -218.086 + -199.429 = $-855 Mil.
Revenue was 1527.438 + 1410.948 + 1369.601 + 1350.849 = $5,659 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $45,662 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $30,596 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(3588.374 - 3456.012)/34283.495
=0.0039

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-6095.576/34283.495
=-0.1778

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(2698.892 - -854.648)/34283.495
=0.1037

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=45661.729/30595.897
=1.4924

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=5658.836/34283.495
=0.1651

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Simon Property Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.16 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Simon Property Group  (NYSE:SPG) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Simon Property Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Simon Property Group's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Simon Property Group (Simon Property Group) Business Description

Address
225 West Washington Street, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46204
Simon Property Group is the second-largest real estate investment trust in the United States. Its portfolio includes an interest in 231 properties: 136 traditional malls, 70 premium outlets, 14 Mills centers (a combination of a traditional mall, outlet center, and big-box retailers), 6 lifestyle centers, and 5 other retail properties. Simon's portfolio averaged $693 in sales per square foot over the 12 months prior to the pandemic. The company also owns a 21% interest in Klepierre, a European retail company with investments in shopping centers in 16 countries, and joint venture interests in 33 premium outlets across 11 countries.
Executives
Larry C Glasscock director SYSCO CORPORATION, 1390 ENCLAVE PARKWAY, HOUSTON TX 77077
Randall J Lewis director WELLPOINT, INC, 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Allan B Hubbard director ANTHEM INC., 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Glyn Aeppel director 6 WHIPPOORWILL LANE, WESTPORT CT 06880
Gary M Rodkin director 700 ANDERSON HILL RD, PURCHASE NJ 10577
Reuben S Leibowitz director 466 LEXINGTON AVENUE 10TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Marta R Stewart director C/O NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP, THREE COMMERCIAL PL, NORFOLK VA 23510-9219
Daniel C. Smith director 3000 GODFREY GRADUATE AND EXECUTIVE CTR., 1275 EAST TENTH STREET, BLOOMINGTON IN 47405-1703
Stefan M Selig director 2 EAST 70TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10021
Peggy Fang Roe director 100 COMMERCE LANE, APT. 1401, BETHESDA MD 20814
Karen N Horn director
Smith J Albert Jr director 111 MONUMENT CIRCLE, IN1-0175, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Matthew A Jackson officer: SVP, Assistant Treasurer 225 W. WASHINGTON ST., INDIANAPOLIS IN 46256
Kevin M Kelly officer: Asst. General Counsel/Sec. 225 W. WASHINGTON ST., INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Donald G Frey officer: EVP, Treasurer 225 W. WASHINGTON ST., INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204