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Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV (Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV) Altman Z-Score

: 0.76 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.77 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV has a Altman Z-Score of 0.76, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VLRS' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.25   Med: 0.89   Max: 4.26
Current: 0.77

During the past 13 years, Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.26. The lowest was 0.25. And the median was 0.89.


Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.04 0.25 0.98 0.68 0.79

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.68 0.69 0.82 0.66 0.79

Competitive Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0723+1.4*-0.0287+3.3*0.044+0.6*0.1826+1.0*0.6317
=0.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $5,161 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,248 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,621 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-148 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 129 + -34 + 8 + -96 = $7 Mil.
Interest Expense was -45 + -60 + -57 + -58 = $-220 Mil.
Revenue was 899 + 848 + 782 + 731 = $3,260 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $898 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $4,918 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1248 - 1621)/5161
=-0.0723

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-148/5161
=-0.0287

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(7 - -220)/5161
=0.044

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=898.132/4918
=0.1826

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3260/5161
=0.6317

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV has a Altman Z-Score of 0.76 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV  (NYSE:VLRS) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV (Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Av. Antonio Dovali Jaime Number 70, 13th Floor, Tower B, Colonia Zedec Santa Fe, Mexico, DF, MEX, 01210
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV is a low-cost airline flying to Mexico, the United States, Central and South America. It currently operates up to 500 average daily flight segments on routes that connect 44 cities in Mexico as well as 22 cities in the United States, four in Central America and two in South America. It uses promotional fares to stimulate demand and the base fares are priced to compete with long-distance bus fares in Mexico. Revenues from the air transportation of passengers are recognized earlier when the service is provided or when the non-refundable ticket expires at the date of the scheduled travel. Non-passenger revenues include revenues generated from other non-passenger revenues and cargo services.