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United States Steel (United States Steel) Altman Z-Score

: 2.30 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.31 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

United States Steel has a Altman Z-Score of 2.30, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that United States Steel is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for United States Steel's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

X' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.9   Med: 2.22   Max: 2.93
Current: 2.31

During the past 13 years, United States Steel's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.93. The lowest was 0.90. And the median was 2.22.


United States Steel Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for United States Steel's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

United States Steel Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.37 0.90 2.93 2.71 2.41

United States Steel Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.71 2.52 2.28 2.30 2.41

Competitive Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, United States Steel's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United States Steel Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, United States Steel's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United States Steel's Altman Z-Score falls into.



United States Steel Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

United States Steel's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1464+1.4*0.3364+3.3*0.0547+0.6*0.9856+1.0*0.8827
=2.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $20,451 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,943 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,948 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $6,880 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -165 + 341 + 621 + 250 = $1,047 Mil.
Interest Expense was -9 + -16 + -20 + -27 = $-72 Mil.
Revenue was 4144 + 4431 + 5008 + 4470 = $18,053 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $9,177 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $9,311 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6943 - 3948)/20451
=0.1464

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=6880/20451
=0.3364

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1047 - -72)/20451
=0.0547

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=9176.989/9311
=0.9856

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=18053/20451
=0.8827

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

United States Steel has a Altman Z-Score of 2.30 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


United States Steel  (NYSE:X) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


United States Steel Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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United States Steel (United States Steel) Business Description

Address
600 Grant Street, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15219-2800
United States Steel Corp operates primarily in the United States but also has a steelmaking capacity in Slovakia. The company's operating segments include North American Flat-Rolled (Flat-Rolled), Mini Mill, U. S. Steel Europe (USSE), and Tubular Products (Tubular). The Flat-Rolled segment includes U. S. Steel's integrated steel plants and equity investees in North America involved in the production of slabs, strip mill plates, sheets, and tin mill products, as well as all iron ore and coke production facilities in the United States. It primarily serves North American customers in the service center, conversion, transportation, construction, container, and appliance, and electrical markets.
Executives
Daniel R Brown officer: SVP Adv. Tech. Steelmaking 600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 1844, C/O UNITED STATES STEEL CORPORATION, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
David B Burritt officer: Exec. VP and CFO 600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 1500, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Scott D Buckiso officer: VP Euro Solutions & Pres USSK 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Kenneth E Jaycox officer: SVP & Chief Comm. Officer 600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 6100, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
James E. Bruno officer: Sr VP, Automotive Solutions 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Duane D Holloway officer: SVP, GC, CCO & Corp. Sec C/O UNITED STATES STEEL CORPORATION, 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Alicia J. Davis director 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Andrea J. Ayers director STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, IN., 1000 STANLEY DRIVE, NEW BRITAIN CT 06053
Richard Fruehauf officer: Deputy Gen Counsel - Corporate 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Jessica Graziano officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL, STAMFORD CT 06902
Manpreet Grewal officer: VP, Controller & CAO 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Christine S Breves officer: VP & Supply Chain Officer 600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 6100, PITTSBURGH PA 16059
Terry L Dunlap director 1000 SIX PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Tracy A Atkinson director MFS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, 500 BOYLSTON ST., BOSTON MA 02116
Jeh C. Johnson director 77 BEALE ST., P.O. BOX 770000, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94177