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Yum China Holdings (Yum China Holdings) Altman Z-Score

: 3.39 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.4 is strong.

Yum China Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 3.39, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Yum China Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

YUMC' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.4   Med: 4.97   Max: 9.19
Current: 3.4

During the past 11 years, Yum China Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 9.19. The lowest was 3.40. And the median was 4.97.


Yum China Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Yum China Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Yum China Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.98 4.95 4.02 4.38 3.73

Yum China Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.38 5.02 4.83 4.51 3.73

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Yum China Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yum China Holdings Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Yum China Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yum China Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Yum China Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Yum China Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0839+1.4*0.192+3.3*0.1019+0.6*2.9519+1.0*0.9125
=3.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $12,031 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,431 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,422 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $2,310 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 138 + 365 + 286 + 437 = $1,226 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Revenue was 2493 + 2914 + 2654 + 2917 = $10,978 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $14,500 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $4,912 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(3431 - 2422)/12031
=0.0839

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2310/12031
=0.192

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1226 - 0)/12031
=0.1019

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=14499.532/4912
=2.9519

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=10978/12031
=0.9125

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Yum China Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 3.39 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Yum China Holdings  (NYSE:YUMC) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Yum China Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Yum China Holdings (Yum China Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20 Tian Yao Qiao Road, Yum China Building, Shanghai, CHN, 200030
With almost 13,000 units and USD 10 billion in systemwide sales in 2022, Yum China is the largest restaurant chain in China. It generates revenue through its own restaurants and franchise fees. Key concepts include KFC (9,094 units) and Pizza Hut (2,903), but the company's portfolio also includes other brands such as Little Sheep, East Dawning, Taco Bell, Huang Ji Huang, COFFii & Joy, and Lavazza (collectively representing about 950 units). Yum China is a trademark licensee of Yum Brands, paying 3% of total systemwide sales to the company it separated from in October 2016.
Executives
Leila Zhang officer: Chief Technology Officer YUM CHINA BUILDING, 20 TIAN YAO QIAO ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030
Joey Wat officer: Chief Executive Officer, KFC 11F-20F, 2 GRAND GATEWAY, 3 HONGQIAO ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030
Warton Wang officer: General Manager, KFC YUM CHINA BUILDING, 20 TIAN YAO QIAO ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030
David L Hoffmann director MCDONALD'S APMEA, 1 KIM SENG PROMENADE, SINGAPORE U0 237995
Christina (xiaojing) Zhu director YUM CHINA BUILDING, 20 TIAN YAO QIAO ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030
Peter A Bassi director 3111 W ALLEGHENY AVE, PHILADELPHIA PA 19132
Fred Hu director 28TH FLOOR, 28 HENNESSY ROAD, ADMIRALTY K3 852
William Wang Yang director 48/F CHINA WORLD TOWER 3, NO 1 JIAN GUO MEN WAI AVENUE, BEIJING F4 100004
Johnson Huang officer: Chief Info & Marketing Officer 11F-20F, 2 GRAND GATEWAY, 3 HONGQIAO ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030
Duoduo (howard) Huang officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer YUM CHINA BUILDING, 20 TIAN YAO QIAO ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030
Aiken Yuen officer: Chief People Officer 16/F TWO GRAND GATEWAY 3 HONG QIAO ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030
Alice H Wang officer: Vice President, Public Affairs 11F-20F, 2 GRAND GATEWAY, 3 HONGQIAO ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030
Min (jenny) Zhang director YUM CHINA BUILDING, 20 TIAN YAO QIAO ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030
Danny Tan officer: Chief Support Officer 11F-20F, 2 GRAND GATEWAY, 3 HONGQIAO ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030
Angela Ai officer: Chief Development Officer 11F-20F, 2 GRAND GATEWAY, 3 HONGQIAO ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030