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Ocular Therapeutix (Ocular Therapeutix) Altman Z-Score

: -0.84 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -0.8 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Ocular Therapeutix has a Altman Z-Score of -0.84, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ocular Therapeutix's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OCUL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.95   Med: -0.75   Max: 13.77
Current: -0.8

During the past 12 years, Ocular Therapeutix's highest Altman Z-Score was 13.77. The lowest was -7.95. And the median was -0.75.


Ocular Therapeutix Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ocular Therapeutix's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ocular Therapeutix Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.95 1.39 0.20 -4.92 -1.70

Ocular Therapeutix Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.92 -5.96 -6.70 -4.83 -1.70

Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Ocular Therapeutix's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ocular Therapeutix Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Ocular Therapeutix's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ocular Therapeutix's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Ocular Therapeutix Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Ocular Therapeutix's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.7829+1.4*-2.7675+3.3*-0.2753+0.6*4.6178+1.0*0.2319
=-0.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $252.06 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $232.24 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $34.90 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-697.58 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -29.22 + -0.516 + -20.682 + -30.318 = $-80.74 Mil.
Interest Expense was -4.151 + -3.426 + -1.991 + -1.768 = $-11.34 Mil.
Revenue was 14.801 + 15.081 + 15.186 + 13.374 = $58.44 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $743.14 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $160.93 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(232.235 - 34.896)/252.06
=0.7829

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-697.578/252.06
=-2.7675

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-80.736 - -11.336)/252.06
=-0.2753

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=743.138/160.929
=4.6178

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=58.442/252.06
=0.2319

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Ocular Therapeutix has a Altman Z-Score of -0.84 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Ocular Therapeutix  (NAS:OCUL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Ocular Therapeutix Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Ocular Therapeutix (Ocular Therapeutix) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
24 Crosby Drive, Bedford, MA, USA, 01730
Ocular Therapeutix Inc is a biotechnology company that specializes in therapies for diseases and conditions of the eye. The company uses its proprietary hydrogel platform technology to deliver therapeutic agents to the eye. Its pipeline consists of eye medication that aims to overcome the limitations of current eye-drop-based therapies for ophthalmic diseases and conditions. Ocular Therapeutix aims to offer medication to replace the existing eye-drop therapy regimen, with the aim of lasting weeks or months with a one-time product application. Its pipeline product includes Dextenza, OTX-TIC, OTX-TKI, and OTX-IVT.
Executives
Summer Road Llc 10 percent owner 207 6TH STREET, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Antony C. Mattessich director C/O OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC., 34 CROSBY DR., SUITE 105, BEDFORD MA 01730
Adrienne L Graves director 125 STONE MOUNTAIN CIRCLE, NAPA CA 94558
Rabia Gurses Ozden officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O AKOUOS, INC., 645 SUMMER STREET SUITE 200, BOSTON MA 02210
Philip C. Strassburger officer: General Counsel 24 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Donald Notman officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC., 15 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Christopher G White officer: Chief Business Officer C/O AMAG PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1100 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Jeffrey S. Heier director C/O OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC., 34 CROSBY DR., SUITE 105, BEDFORD MA 01730
Merilee Raines director IDEXX LABORATORIES, INC., ONE IDEXX DRIVE, WESTBROOK ME 04092
Lindstrom Richard L Md director 2811 WESTWOOD PL, WAYZATA MN 55391
Opaleye Management Inc. 10 percent owner ONE BOSTON PLACE, SUITE 2600, BOSTON MA 02108
Patricia Kitchen officer: Chief Operations Officer C/O OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC., 15 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Leslie J. Williams director C/O OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC., 15 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Seung Suh Hong director C/O OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC., 15 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Amarpreet Sawhney director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO C/O OCULAR THERAPEUTIX, INC., 36 CROSBY DRIVE, SUITE 101, BEDFORD MA 01730

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