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Collins Foods (Collins Foods) Altman Z-Score

: 1.81 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.83 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Collins Foods has a Altman Z-Score of 1.81, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Collins Foods is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Collins Foods's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CLLFF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.69   Med: 2.15   Max: 2.95
Current: 1.83

During the past 12 years, Collins Foods's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.95. The lowest was 1.69. And the median was 2.15.


Collins Foods Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Collins Foods's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Collins Foods Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.88 1.69 2.23 2.07 1.74

Collins Foods Semi-Annual Data
Apr14 Oct14 Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2.07 - 1.74 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Collins Foods's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Collins Foods Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Collins Foods's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Collins Foods's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Collins Foods Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Collins Foods's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0356+1.4*0.0499+3.3*0.0351+0.6*1.1401+1.0*0.9841
=1.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Apr. 2023:
Total Assets was $916.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $87.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $119.8 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $45.7 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was $9.8 Mil.
Interest Expense was $-22.4 Mil.
Revenue was $902.1 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $751.8 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $659.4 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(87.161 - 119.838)/916.637
=-0.0356

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=45.742/916.637
=0.0499

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(9.811 - -22.361)/916.637
=0.0351

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=751.815/659.447
=1.1401

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=902.083/916.637
=0.9841

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Collins Foods has a Altman Z-Score of 1.81 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Collins Foods  (OTCPK:CLLFF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Collins Foods Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Collins Foods (Collins Foods) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
485 Kingsford Smith Drive, Level 3, KSD1, Hamilton, QLD, AUS, 4007
Collins Foods is an operator of quick service restaurants, or QSRs. It franchises restaurant brands from U.S.-listed Yum Brands, including KFC in Australia, Germany, and the Netherlands, as well as Taco Bell in Australia. Most of its revenue and earnings are generated in Australia, where Collins is the largest franchisee of KFC, ahead of Restaurant Brands New Zealand.In the Netherlands, Collins has signed a corporate franchise agreement, giving it more control over development and oversight of the Dutch franchisee network.Earnings growth is underpinned by its store network expansion, both new restaurants and acquisitions of existing sites. Competitive pricing is key to maintaining share in the QSR market, and the company has generally increased at or below consumer price index growth.

Collins Foods (Collins Foods) Headlines

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