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MTY Food Group (TSX:MTY) Altman Z-Score

: 1.20 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.2 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

MTY Food Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.20, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for MTY Food Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:MTY' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.56   Med: 1.67   Max: 13.62
Current: 1.2

During the past 13 years, MTY Food Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 13.62. The lowest was 0.56. And the median was 1.67.


MTY Food Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for MTY Food Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MTY Food Group Annual Data
Trend Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.65 0.84 1.34 1.18 1.23

MTY Food Group Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.09 1.13 1.31 1.23 1.23

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, MTY Food Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MTY Food Group Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, MTY Food Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MTY Food Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



MTY Food Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

MTY Food Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0653+1.4*0.1833+3.3*0.0652+0.6*0.6116+1.0*0.4372
=1.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2024:
Total Assets was C$2,658 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$272 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$446 Mil.
Retained Earnings was C$487 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 20.197 + 14.865 + 41.277 + 34.443 = C$111 Mil.
Interest Expense was -14.864 + -15.388 + -16.201 + -16.046 = C$-62 Mil.
Revenue was 278.644 + 280.032 + 298.08 + 305.219 = C$1,162 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was C$1,126 Mil.
Total Liabilities was C$1,841 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(272.342 - 445.873)/2658.03
=-0.0653

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=487.187/2658.03
=0.1833

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(110.782 - -62.499)/2658.03
=0.0652

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1126.338/1841.477
=0.6116

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1161.975/2658.03
=0.4372

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

MTY Food Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.20 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


MTY Food Group  (TSX:MTY) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


MTY Food Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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MTY Food Group (TSX:MTY) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8150 autoroute Transcanadienne, Suite 200, Saint-Laurent, QC, CAN, H4S 1M5
MTY Food Group Inc is a franchisor in the quick service and casual dining food industry. Its activities consist of franchising and operating corporate-owned locations as well as the sale of retail products under a multitude of banners. The company's operating segment is based on geographical regions namely Canada and US and International. The company brands include Big Smoke Burger, Cafe Depot, Country Style, Croissant Plus, Cultures, Extremepita, Fabrika, Jus Jugo Juice, Koya Japan, ManchuWok, Muffin plus, Valentine, Van Houtte, Shushiman and others.

MTY Food Group (TSX:MTY) Headlines