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VSE (VSEC) Altman Z-Score

: 2.71 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.71 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

VSE has a Altman Z-Score of 2.71, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that VSE is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for VSE's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VSEC' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.31   Med: 2.52   Max: 3.8
Current: 2.71

During the past 13 years, VSE's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.80. The lowest was 2.31. And the median was 2.52.


VSE Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for VSE's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

VSE Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.47 2.42 2.31 2.45 2.57

VSE Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.45 2.44 2.66 2.34 2.57

Competitive Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, VSE's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


VSE Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, VSE's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where VSE's Altman Z-Score falls into.



VSE Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

VSE's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3608+1.4*0.2849+3.3*0.066+0.6*1.6302+1.0*0.6867
=2.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,350.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $774.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $286.9 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $384.7 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 16.041 + 16.805 + 13.271 + 11.956 = $58.1 Mil.
Interest Expense was -9.278 + -8.459 + -7.366 + -5.977 = $-31.1 Mil.
Revenue was 235.325 + 231.353 + 205.223 + 255.433 = $927.3 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,195.9 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $733.6 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(774.03 - 286.886)/1350.338
=0.3608

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=384.702/1350.338
=0.2849

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(58.073 - -31.08)/1350.338
=0.066

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1195.931/733.613
=1.6302

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=927.334/1350.338
=0.6867

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

VSE has a Altman Z-Score of 2.71 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


VSE  (NAS:VSEC) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


VSE Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of VSE's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


VSE (VSEC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6348 Walker Lane, Alexandria, VA, USA, 22310
VSE Corp is a diversified aftermarket products and services company providing repair services, parts distribution, logistics, supply chain management and consulting services for land, sea and air transportation assets to commercial and government markets. Its operations include supply chain management solutions, parts supply and distribution, and maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) services for vehicle fleet, aviation, maritime and other customers. It also provide vehicle and equipment refurbishment, logistics, engineering support, data management and healthcare IT solutions, and clean energy consulting services. The company operating segments are Aviation, Fleet and Federal and Defense.
Executives
Edward P Dolanski director 5158 MOHAWK DRIVE, FRISCO TX 75034
John E Potter director 9009 FALLS CHAPEL WAY, POTOMAC MD 20854-2387
James F Lafond director 4401 GULF SHORE BLVD NORTH, UNIT 103, NAPLES FL 34103
Calvin Scott Koonce director 6229 EXECUTIVE BOULEVARD, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Bonnie K Wachtel director 1101 FOURTEENTH STREET NW, SUITE 800, WASHINGTON DC 20005
Ralph E Eberhart director 909 N. WASHINGTON STREET, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Ferguson Iii Mark E director 1444 CLONCURRY ROAD, NORFOLK VA 23505
Anita D Britt director 3000 NW 107TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33172
Lloyd Emerson Johnson director 16737 NEW PROVIDENCE LANE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Benjamin E. Thomas officer: President, VSE Aviation, Inc. 3361 ENTERPRISE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 33025
Stephen D. Griffin officer: Sr. VP and CFO 6348 WALKER LANE, ALEXANDRIA VA 22310
Farinaz S Tehrani officer: Chief Legal Officer 180 EAST BROAD STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43215
Moore Robert Andrew Iii officer: President, Federal & Defense 6348 WALKER LANE, ALEXANDRIA VA 22310
John A Cuomo director, officer: CEO and President 6348 WALKER LANE, ALEXANDRIA VA 22310
Chad Wheeler officer: President, Wheeler Fleet 384 DRUM AVENUE, SOMERSET PA 15501