We applied the discounted cash flow and discounted earnings to the top ranked predictable companies, and calculated the intrinsic values of the these companies. These are the companies that appeared to be undervalued as measured by discounted cash flow model or discounted earning model. The formula and methodology are described in What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety. The assumptions for the calculations are:
The intrinsic value of the companies are calculated with:
Intrinsic Value = Future Earnings at Growth Stage + Terminal Value
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| Discount Cash Flow | Discount Earning | Ratio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Symbol | Company | Predictability | Price | Valuation | Discount (%) | Valuation | Discount (%) | P/E Ratio | Yield (%) |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $91.21 | $65 | -40 | $73 | -25 | 35.05 | 0.13 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $74.30 | $54 | -38 | $60 | -24 | 34.71 | 0.16 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $76.30 | $74 | -3 | $72 | -6 | 30.04 | 1.09 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $280.77 | $98 | -187 | $292 | 4 | 27.42 | 0.00 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $368.37 | $402 | 8 | $311 | -18 | 26.81 | 0.00 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $110.58 | $71 | -56 | $93 | -19 | 25.72 | 1.13 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $63.82 | $64 | 0 | $66 | 3 | 25.43 | 0.00 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $163.80 | $13 | -1160 | $187 | 12 | 24.89 | 0.32 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $128.81 | $116 | -11 | $145 | 11 | 24.11 | 0.00 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $97.49 | $114 | 14 | $116 | 16 | 24.01 | 0.86 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $81.44 | $61 | -34 | $71 | -15 | 23.81 | 0.00 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $344.51 | $139 | -148 | $416 | 17 | 23.55 | 0.00 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $109.71 | $79 | -39 | $106 | -4 | 23.49 | 1.28 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $169.34 | $59 | -187 | $205 | 17 | 23.49 | 0.00 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $117.75 | $127 | 7 | $96 | -23 | 23.48 | 0.00 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $89.98 | $81 | -11 | $110 | 18 | 23.37 | 1.29 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $79.50 | $63 | -26 | $97 | 18 | 23.24 | 0.00 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $30.84 | $17 | -81 | $34 | 9 | 22.19 | 0.92 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $68.26 | $23 | -197 | $77 | 11 | 21.64 | 0.77 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $44.06 | $39 | -13 | $48 | 8 | 19.07 | 3.05 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $20.26 | $13 | -56 | $18 | -13 | 18.96 | 2.64 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $60.04 | $50 | -20 | $62 | 3 | 18.65 | 1.40 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $74.65 | $47 | -59 | $69 | -8 | 18.43 | 1.85 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $77.82 | $67 | -16 | $95 | 18 | 18.31 | 1.18 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $111.77 | $36 | -210 | $112 | 0 | 17.28 | 2.39 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $43.94 | $22 | -100 | $45 | 2 | 17.23 | 1.50 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $14.55 | $19 | 23 | $21 | 31 | 17.12 | 2.20 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $450.00 | $886 | 49 | $802 | 44 | 15.99 | 0.00 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $248.69 | $1384 | 82 | $360 | 31 | 15.59 | 0.90 |
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Back Testing Results: Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year. % of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%. Read more: What is Predictability Rank? Performances of real portfolio Top Ranked Predictable Companies | $88.68 | $58 | -53 | $102 | 13 | 15.41 | 1.54 |
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