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HomeAway (HomeAway) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $3.59 (As of Sep15)


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What is HomeAway Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep15, HomeAway's earnings power value is $3.59. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


HomeAway Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for HomeAway's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

HomeAway Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

HomeAway Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 4.78

HomeAway Quarterly Data
Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.83 4.78 4.59 3.61 3.59

Competitive Comparison of HomeAway's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, HomeAway's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HomeAway's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, HomeAway's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HomeAway's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



HomeAway Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

HomeAway's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 345.0
DDA 25.7
Operating Margin % 8.91
SGA * 25% 48.0
Tax Rate % 121.86
Maintenance Capex 20.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 919.6
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 329.9
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 97.7

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 8.91%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $345.0 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 8.91%, Average Adjusted SGA = 48.0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 345.0 * 8.91% +48.0 = $78.686860725 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 121.86%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $78.686860725 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 78.686860725 * ( 1 - 121.86% ) = $-17.198980582967 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 25.7 * 0.5 * 121.86% = $15.67136193 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -17.198980582967 + 15.67136193 = $-1.5276186529669 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
HomeAway's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $20.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. HomeAway's current cash and cash equivalent = $919.6 Mil.
HomeAway's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 329.9 + 0.0 = $329.905 Mil.
HomeAway's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 97.7 Mil.

HomeAway's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep15 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -1.5276186529669 - 20.0)/ 9%+919.6-329.905 )/97.7
=3.59

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 3.5899634376829-31.38 )/3.5899634376829
= -774.1%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


HomeAway  (NAS:AWAY) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


HomeAway Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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HomeAway (HomeAway) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
HomeAway, Inc., was incorporated in 2004 as CEH Holdings, Inc. in the State of Delaware. In 2006, the Company changed its name to HomeAway, Inc. The Company operates as an online marketplace for the vacation rental industry. Vacation rentals are fully furnished, privately owned residential properties, including homes, condominiums, villas and cabins that can be rented on a nightly, weekly or monthly basis. The Company's marketplace brings together millions of travelers seeking vacation rentals online with hundreds of thousands of owners and managers of vacation rental properties located in over 145 countries around the world. Its ambition is to make every vacation rental in the world available to every traveler in the world through its online marketplace. The Company's Products and Services includes Paid Listings. Paid listings appear in search results on websites when travelers search for vacation rentals based on location, type of property, size or other characteristics. A paid listing provides the property owner or manager with a set of tools for managing an availability calendar, reservations, inquiries and the content of the listing; Transaction-Based Listings: The Company offers property managers with large inventories of vacation rentals the opportunity to post listings for no initial up-front fees and, instead, charge fees based on the number of inquiries and online reservations that result from their listing on its websites; Property Management Software: Property managers can use Company's enterprise software solutions to manage their businesses, customers and properties. It provides software solutions to property managers under the brand names Escapia, PropertyPlus, V12, Entech and First Resort and offer software tailored to professional. Its strategies to achieve goal includes: Increase the Size of Marketplace by Providing the Online Experience: It intends to build on its market scale by providing the online experience for travelers, property owners and managers. For travelers, the Company will leverage the scale and scope of the current listings on marketplace, the latest web technologies and own innovations in user interface, visual design, features and functionality; Bring More Choice and Value to Property Owners, Managers and Traveler. It derives its revenue from paid listings from its property owners and managers. The Company's customers generally pay for their listings at the beginning of the listing term, and revenue is recognized monthly over the term of the listing, which is generally one year.
Executives
Simon J Breakwell director C/O EXPEDIA INC, 333 108TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Thomas E Hale officer: Chief Operating Officer 600 TOWNSEND ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Rebecca Lynn Atchison officer: Chief Financial Officer 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
Charles Baker director C/O MONSTER WORLDWIDE, INC., 622 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Brian Sharples director, officer: CEO, President and Chairman 1250 CAPITAL OF TX HWY, BLDG 2, PLAZA 1, AUSTIN TX 78746
Christopher P Marshall director 250 MIDDLEFIELD RD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Brent Bellm officer: President & COO 11305 FOUR POINTS DRIVE, BUILDING II, THIRD FLOOR, AUSTIN TX 78726
Robert Solomon director 600 WEST CHICAGO AVENUE, SUITE 620, CHICAGO IL 60654
Av Partners X, L.p. 10 percent owner 300 W. 6TH STREET, SUITE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
Av Partners X, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 300 W. 6TH STREET, SUITE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
Austin Ventures X Lp 10 percent owner 300 WEST 6TH STREET, SUITE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
Christopher A Pacitti 10 percent owner 300 WEST SIXTH STREET, SUITE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
John D Thornton 10 percent owner 300 WEST SIXTH ST., SUITE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
Kenneth P Deangelis 10 percent owner 300 WEST SIXTH ST STE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
Joseph C Aragona 10 percent owner C/O AUSTIN VENTURES, 300 W. SIXTH ST., STE. 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701

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