Model Portfolios by Type


Overview


Guru Strategies

Consensus Picks Portfolio
Guru Bargains Portfolio
Most Broadly Held Portfolio
Most Weighted Portfolio


Value Strategies (Long)

Buffett-Munger Screener top 25
Top 25 Undervalued Predictable Companies
Top 25 Historical Low P/S Ratio Companies
Top 25 Historical Low P/B Ratio Companies


Value Strategies

Top 25 Historical High P/S Ratio Companies
Top 25 Overvalued Predictable Companies


Value Strategies (Hedged)

Hedged Portfolio - Undervalued vs. Overvalued
Hedged Portfolio - Low P/S vs. High P/S


Insider Strategies (Long)

Top 25 CEO Buys
Top 25 CFO Buys
Top 25 Insider Cluster Buys


Insider Strategies (Short)

Top 25 CEO Sales
Top 25 CFO Sales
Top 25 Insider Cluster Sales

Related Articles:

  1. New Model Portfolios: Insider Buys and Sells -Jan. 05, 2011
  2. New Model Portfolios: Overvalued Stocks - Jan. 04, 2011
  3. All Model Portfolios Have Been Rebalanced - Jan. 02, 2011
  4. Undervalued Predictable Portfolio Up 20.4%; All Positions Gained - Dec. 23, 2010
  5. New Model Portfolios: Historical Low P/S Ratios and Historical Low P/B Ratios - Jan. 05, 2010
  6. Model Portfolios Performance Review: How should you follow the Gurus?

Model Portfolios



Can we invest based on the gurus' recent stock picks and holdings? What kind of returns can we expect if we invest based on the consensus picks of gurus or the bargain candidates and the stocks many of them hold? What kind of returns can we expect if we buy the top-ranked stocks?

In order to find out the answers to these questions, we have constructed a few model portfolios based on different criteria. Click on the charts to find out the details and holdings for each of them.

Guru Strategies:
All numbers do not include dividends.
YearS&P 500Consensus Picks Portfolio Guru Bargains Portfolio Most Broadly Held Portfolio Most Weighted Portfolio
2006 11.8%     15.8% 22.1%
2007 3.5% 9.1% 15.4% -6% -1.9%
2008 -38.5% -45.4% -48.8% -29.6% -34%
2009 23.5% 46.1% 33.2% 32% 39.9%
2010 12.8% 7.4% 16.4% 13.5% 16.7%
2011 -0% -8% -23.8% 0.5% -15.8%
2012 6.9% 15.1% 13.1% 7.7% 11.2%
Screener LinksScreener HereScreener HereScreener HereScreener Here

Value Strategies (Long):
All numbers do not include dividends.
YearS&P 500Buffett-Munger Screener top 25 Top 25 Undervalued Predictable Companies Top 25 Historical Low P/S Ratio Companies Top 25 Historical Low P/B Ratio Companies
2009 23.5% 27% 54%    
2010 12.8% 21.1% 21.5% 19% 16.4%
2011 -0% 6% -3.3% -2% -1.9%
2012 6.9% 7.6% 9.7% 12.3% 12.3%
Screener LinksScreener HereScreener HereScreener HereScreener Here

Value Strategies:
All numbers do not include dividends.
YearS&P 500Top 25 Historical High P/S Ratio Companies Top 25 Overvalued Predictable Companies
2011 -0% 9.4% 2.1%
2012 6.9% 1.6% 6.9%
Screener LinksScreener HereScreener Here

Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Consensus Picks Portfolio: top 25 consensus new picks

These are the top 25 consensus picks of the Gurus during the most recent quarter. The rank is based on the number of the gurus who bought the stock. All other things being equal, the stocks that the gurus bought in higher concentrations (percentage of portfolio) are ranked higher. The portfolio is updated every 12 months. The current list of stocks that meet this criteria can be found here
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Guru Bargains Portfolio: top 25 bargains on the day of portfolio update

Top 25 portfolio from Guru Bargains at the time of rebalance. The current list of stocks that meet this criteria can be found here
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Most Broadly Held Portfolio: 25 most broadly held stocks

These are the most broadly held 25 stocks in Gurus' holdings. The rank is based on the number of the gurus who hold the stock. All other things being equal, the stocks that the gurus hold in higher concentrations (percentage of portfolio) are ranked higher. The portfolio is updated every 12 months. The current list of stocks that meet this criteria can be found here
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Most Weighted Portfolio: 25 most weighted stocks

These are the 25 stocks with the most heavily weighted positions among the combined holdings of the Gurus. The rank is based on the combined positions of the stocks in the Gurus holdings. For instance: if Guru A holds 17% of WMT in his holding, and Guru B holds 5%, and Guru C holds 4%,the combined weighting is defined as 17+5+4=26. The portfolio is updated every 12 months. The current list of stocks that meet this criteria can be found here
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Buffett-Munger Screener top 25: Buffett-Munger Screener top 25

Top 25 stocks from the Buffett-Munger Screener, 1. These companies are undervalued based on DCF model. The portfolio consists of the top 25 most undervalued on the day of rebalance.
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Top 25 Undervalued Predictable Companies: Top 25 Undervalued Predictable Companies

Top 25 Undervalued Predictable Companies screened from here. These companies have the best predictabilities, and their stock prices are undervalued the most relative to their intrinsic values calculated with DCF Model.
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Top 25 Historical Low P/S Ratio Companies: Top 25 Historical Low P/S Ratio Companies

Top 25 Historical Low P/S Ratio Companies. These companies have been very predictable in their business operations. Their sales and earnings have consistently grown for at least the past decade. However the price/sales (P/S) ratio of each of these companies is less than 30% above its historical low. The current list of stocks that meet this criteria can be found here.
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Top 25 Historical Low P/B Ratio Companies: Top 25 Historical Low P/B Ratio Companies

Top 25 Historical Low P/B Ratio Companies. These companies have been very predictable in their business operations. Their sales and earnings have consistently grown for at least the past decade. However the price/book (P/B) ratios of each of these companies is less than 30% above its historical low. . The current list of stocks that meet this criteria can be found here.
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Top 25 Historical High P/S Ratio Companies: Top 25 Historical High P/S Ratio Companies

Top 25 Historical High P/S Ratio Companies. These companies have predictable business, but traded at historical high P/S ratios. The purpose of this portfolio is to show that over-valued stocks appreciate less than the undervalued ones.

For details, see New Model Portfolios: Overvalued Stocks
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Top 25 Overvalued Predictable Companies: Top 25 Overvalued Predictable Companies

Top 25 Overvalued Predictable Companies. These companies have predictable business, but are over valued as measured by DCF model. The purpose of this portfolio is to show that over-valued stocks appreciate less than the undervalued ones.

For details, see New Model Portfolios: Overvalued Stocks
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Hedged Portfolio - Undervalued vs. Overvalued: Hedged Portfolio - Undervalued vs. Overvalued

If one runs a portfolio by being long on the undervalued stocks and being short the same amount of overvalued stocks, the performance of the portfolio will be decided by the difference in the performances of the undervalued stocks and overvalued stocks. The shorted stocks serve as the market hedge, and the portfolio will be market neutral. The performances of the general market will not affect the returns of the portfolio.

The performance of this hedged portfolio is from the relative performances of the model portfolios of Undervalued Predictable Companies to Overvalued Predictable Companies.
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Hedged Portfolio - Low P/S vs. High P/S: Hedged Portfolio - Low P/S vs. High P/S

If one runs a portfolio by being long on the undervalued stocks and being short the same amount of overvalued stocks, the performance of the portfolio will be decided by the difference in the performances of the undervalued stocks and overvalued stocks. The shorted stocks serve as the market hedge, and the portfolio will be market neutral. The performances of the general market will not affect the returns of the portfolio.

The performance of this hedged portfolio is from the relative performances of the model portfolios of historical low P/S ratios to the historical high P/S ratios.
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Top 25 CEO Buys: Top 25 CEO Buys

Top 25 CEO Buys
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Top 25 CFO Buys: Top 25 CFO Buys

Top 25 CFO Buys
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Top 25 Insider Cluster Buys: Top 25 Insider Cluster Buys

Top 25 Insider Cluster Buys
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Top 25 CEO Sales: Top 25 CEO Sales

Top 25 CEO Sales
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Top 25 CFO Sales: Top 25 CFO Sales

Top 25 CFO Sales
Click for details: Most Weighted Stocks Performance vs. S&P500

Top 25 Insider Cluster Sales: Top 25 Insider Cluster Sales

Top 25 Insider Cluster Sales

Questions about how the Model Portfolios were constructed, please the articles listed at the left side menu..


Comments

Donale
1 week ago
John Wiley & Sons, Inc. is displayed in the Buffet-Munger Bargains Newsletter with a current price of $47.12.
In the Portfolio the Stockprice is lower ($44.4)
Same for ITT Educational Services Inc.

Is that becouse of the rebalancing on 1st january?
Why is that only 5 of the portfolios have outperformed, and those not by very much? Is the model broken?
Jeisen
7 months ago
June 27, 2011: Am I reading this correctly? - Your "short" strategy is actually up 13+% if you were long? -

Also, Dionex is not valued at $0.... it was purchased at a value of $118.50/share, per WSJ. (deal completed May 17, 2011)...so the short portfolio is even better that +13% YTD
Gurufocus
gurufocus
1 year ago
Once a year only during the new year holiday.
Avadhut
1 year ago
How frequently the stocks in the portfolio are changed?

Avadhut

www.analytics.net.in
L.novak
1 year ago
do you have a list of stocks selling below tangible book value? novaklawrence@yahoo.com
Harney246
1 year ago
Please add Excel download option to this portfolio.

Thanks
Rckymtns
2 years ago
this chart does not seem to reflect the buffett-munger screener but the midcap s&p 500
Superguru
2 years ago

Based on results, guru bargains seem more like guru mistakes. Though some of the stocks here may have strong upside going forward assuming worst is behind us.

I am new. How are other members using this screen?
Gurufocus
gurufocus
2 years ago
fixed! sorry about that.
Dwiprut
2 years ago
Gurufocus - Why can't I see the holdings in the model portfolios anymore? I used to be able to see the holdings, but now there is a link telling me to log in. However, I'm already logged in and following the link does nothing but bring me back to the home page.
Gurufocus
gurufocus
3 years ago
This page has been updated, to add the tabs in charts. Two other model portfolios are added. One is for the Buffett-Munger Screener, the other is for Undervalued Predictable Companies.
Cm1750
3 years ago
Can we have a 1 year chart of the most-weighted and broadest held stocks as of 12/31/07 so we can see how guru stocks did over the past year?
Stevehem
stevehem
3 years ago
this is the portfolio which has the guru's largest aggregate holdings. The 'broadly held' portfolio is the one where the largest number of gurus have at least one share.
Max7777
3 years ago
Can you expend on how this portfolio was made, how you picked the number of shares and also what is the difference between broadest portfolio and consensus portfolio. (In my mind, the most broadly held 25 stocks should also be the ones with biggest consensus, but I must be wrong)

Since this portfolio did the best, is there any prior data to see how it performed in other years and how it did in up markets vs down markets.
Bmachtig
3 years ago
how has this list done for 2008? 2007? 2006? YTD2009?
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