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Barnes & Noble (Barnes & Noble) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $12.77 (As of Apr19)


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What is Barnes & Noble Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Apr19, Barnes & Noble's earnings power value is $12.77. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Barnes & Noble Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Barnes & Noble's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Barnes & Noble Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Barnes & Noble Annual Data
Trend Apr10 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 34.20 27.47 24.45 23.87 12.77

Barnes & Noble Quarterly Data
Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.87 22.72 18.21 19.39 12.77

Competitive Comparison of Barnes & Noble's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Barnes & Noble's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Barnes & Noble's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Barnes & Noble's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Barnes & Noble's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Barnes & Noble Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Barnes & Noble's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,959
DDA 123
Operating Margin % -0.27
SGA * 25% 271
Tax Rate % 32.08
Maintenance Capex 95
Cash and Cash Equivalents 9
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 204
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 73

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -0.27%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,959 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -0.27%, Average Adjusted SGA = 271,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,959 * -0.27% +271 = $260.268243937 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 32.08%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $260.268243937 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 260.268243937 * ( 1 - 32.08% ) = $176.77158859957 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 123 * 0.5 * 32.08% = $19.76382086 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 176.77158859957 + 19.76382086 = $196.53540945957 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Barnes & Noble's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $95 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Barnes & Noble's current cash and cash equivalent = $9 Mil.
Barnes & Noble's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 204 + 0 = $203.8 Mil.
Barnes & Noble's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 73 Mil.

Barnes & Noble's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Apr19 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 196.53540945957 - 95)/ 9%+9-203.8 )/73
=12.77

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 12.769623795313-6.49 )/12.769623795313
= 49.18%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Barnes & Noble  (NYSE:BKS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Barnes & Noble Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Barnes & Noble (Barnes & Noble) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
122 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10011
Barnes & Noble is a United States-based company that is mainly engaged in retail of books and products of content, digital media, and educational products. The company operates in a multichannel model, including a physical bookstore network throughout the country, an e-commerce platform on BN.com, and its Nook digital business. The company offers books, magazines, music, DVDs, newspapers, and entertainment content, along with e-reading products under the Nook brand. Retail sales from physical stores and BN.com account for the majority of the company's total revenue.
Executives
Al Ferrara director 433 LAWNDALE DRIVE, SOUTH SALT LAKE CITY UT 84115
Mark D Carleton director 12300 LIBERTY BLVD., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Scott S Cowen director 7=6823 ST CHARLES AVE, NEW ORLEANS LA 70118
William Earl Wood officer: Exec. VP, Pres. of Digital 1901 CAPITAL PARKWAY, AUSTIN TX 78746
George Jr Campbell director 4 IRVING PLACE, NEW YORK NY 10003
Patricia Higgins director 11780 U.S. HIGHWAY 1, SUITE 600, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33408
Irwin D Simon director C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Leonard Riggio director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman 122 FIFTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Allen W Lindstrom officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BARNES & NOBLE, INC., 122 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Bradley A. Feuer officer: VP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Secy C/O BARNES & NOBLE, INC., 122 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Paul B Guenther director C/O GABELLI ASSET MANAGEMENT INC, ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 16580
Joseph Charles Gorman officer: Executive VP, Operations C/O GNC HOLDINGS, INC. 300 SIXTH AVENUE PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Tim Mantel officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O BARNES & NOBLE, INC 122 FIFTH AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10011
Carl S Hauch officer: Vice President, Stores ADVANCE AUTO PARTS, INC, 5008 AIRPORT RD, ROANOKE VA 24012
Demos Parneros director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 483 BAY ST, 7TH FL NORTH TOWER, TORONTOON A1 999999999