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Blount International (Blount International) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $1.04 (As of Dec15)


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What is Blount International Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec15, Blount International's earnings power value is $1.04. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Blount International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Blount International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Blount International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Blount International Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.79 4.75 5.70 6.35 1.04

Blount International Quarterly Data
Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.35 5.05 2.83 2.40 1.04

Competitive Comparison of Blount International's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Blount International's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blount International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Blount International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blount International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Blount International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Blount International's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 886.7
DDA 44.0
Operating Margin % 5.14
SGA * 25% 43.1
Tax Rate % 26.95
Maintenance Capex 34.4
Cash and Cash Equivalents 25.9
Short-Term Debt 15.7
Long-Term Debt 363.3
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 48.8

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 5.14%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $886.7 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 5.14%, Average Adjusted SGA = 43.1,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 886.7 * 5.14% +43.1 = $88.67400812 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 26.95%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $88.67400812 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 88.67400812 * ( 1 - 26.95% ) = $64.77636293166 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 44.0 * 0.5 * 26.95% = $5.9330425 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 64.77636293166 + 5.9330425 = $70.70940543166 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Blount International's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $34.4 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Blount International's current cash and cash equivalent = $25.9 Mil.
Blount International's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 363.3 + 15.7 = $379.037 Mil.
Blount International's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 48.8 Mil.

Blount International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec15 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 70.70940543166 - 34.4)/ 9%+25.9-379.037 )/48.8
=1.04

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 1.0383918710529-10.00 )/1.0383918710529
= -863.03%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Blount International  (NYSE:BLT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Blount International Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Blount International's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Blount International (Blount International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Blount International Inc is a global industrial company. The Company designs, manufactures, and markets equipment, replacement and component parts, and accessories for professionals and consumers in select end-markets under its proprietary brand names. It also manufactures and markets such items to original equipment manufacturers ("OEMs") under private label brand names. The Company specializes in manufacturing cutting parts and equipment used in forestry, lawn, and garden; farming, ranching, and agricultural; and construction applications. It also purchases products manufactured by other suppliers that are aligned with the markets it serves and market them, typically under one of its brands, through its global sales and distribution network. Its products are sold in more than 110 countries and approximately 54% of its 2013 sales were shipped to customers outside of the United States of America ("U.S."). The Company operates in two primary business segments: the Forestry, Lawn, and Garden ("FLAG") segment and the Farm Ranch and Agriculture ("FRAG") segment. The FLAG segment manufactures and markets cutting chain, guide bars, and drive sprockets for chain saw use, and lawnmower and edger blades for outdoor power equipment. The FLAG segment also purchases replacement parts and accessories from other manufacturers and markets them, primarily under its brands, to its FLAG customers through its global sales and distribution network. The FLAG segment currently includes the operations of the Company that have historically served the forestry, lawn, and garden markets, as well as KOX GmbH and related companies (collectively "KOX"), and a portion of Finalame SA, which includes PBL SA and related companies (collectively "PBL"). The Company's FRAG segment designs, manufactures, assembles and markets attachments and implements for tractors in a variety of mowing, cutting, clearing, material handling, landscaping and grounds maintenance applications, as well as log splitters, post-hole diggers, self-propelled lawnmowers, attachments for off-highway construction equipment applications, and other general purpose tractor attachments. In addition, the FRAG segment manufactures a variety of attachment cutting blade parts. The FRAG segment also purchases replacement parts and accessories from other manufacturers that it markets to its FRAG customers through its sales and distribution network. The FRAG segment currently includes the operations of SP Companies, Inc. and SpeeCo, Inc. (collectively "SpeeCo"), GenWoods HoldCo, LLC and its wholly-owned subsidiary, Woods Equipment Company (collectively "Woods/TISCO"), and a portion of PBL. The Company also operates a concrete cutting and finishing equipment business that is reported within the Corporate and Other category. This business manufactures and markets diamond cutting chain and assembles and markets concrete cutting chain saws for the construction and utility markets.
Executives
Andrew C Clarke director 430 AIRPORT ROAD, GREENVILLIE TN 37745
Nelda J Connors director BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION, 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752-1234
Max L Lukens director 2801 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77056
Ronald Cami director 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Harold E Layman director C/O GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTD., 12900 SNOW ROAD, PARMA OH 44130
R Eugene Cartledge director C/O GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTD., 12900 SNOW ROAD, PARMA OH 44130
Robert D Kennedy director
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc 10 percent owner 1271 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Eliot M Fried director 37 WEST 12TH STREET APT 11G, NEW YORK NY 10011
William A Shutzer director C/O TIFFANY & CO LEGAL DEPT, 727 FIFTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022

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