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Beazer Homes USA (Beazer Homes USA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $10.83 (As of Dec23)


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What is Beazer Homes USA Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Beazer Homes USA's earnings power value is $10.83. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -162.72

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Beazer Homes USA Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Beazer Homes USA's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Beazer Homes USA Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Beazer Homes USA Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.36 -6.39 2.25 21.06 19.92

Beazer Homes USA Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.69 15.02 18.37 19.92 10.83

Competitive Comparison of Beazer Homes USA's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Beazer Homes USA's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Beazer Homes USA's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Beazer Homes USA's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Beazer Homes USA's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Beazer Homes USA Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Beazer Homes USA's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 2,173
DDA 14
Operating Margin % 4.83
SGA * 25% 43
Tax Rate % 17.63
Maintenance Capex 13
Cash and Cash Equivalents 104
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 993
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 31

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 4.83%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $2,173 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 4.83%, Average Adjusted SGA = 43,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 2,173 * 4.83% +43 = $147.79409789 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 17.63%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $147.79409789 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 147.79409789 * ( 1 - 17.63% ) = $121.74095431395 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 14 * 0.5 * 17.63% = $1.223312688 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 121.74095431395 + 1.223312688 = $122.96426700195 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Beazer Homes USA's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $13 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Beazer Homes USA's current cash and cash equivalent = $104 Mil.
Beazer Homes USA's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 993 + 0 = $992.935 Mil.
Beazer Homes USA's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 31 Mil.

Beazer Homes USA's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 122.96426700195 - 13)/ 9%+104-992.935 )/31
=10.83

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 10.829175722803-28.45 )/10.829175722803
= -162.72%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Beazer Homes USA  (NYSE:BZH) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Beazer Homes USA Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Beazer Homes USA's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Beazer Homes USA (Beazer Homes USA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2002 Summit Boulevard NE, 15th Floor, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30319
Beazer Homes USA Inc is an construction company that focuses on residential construction. The company specializes in single-family housing and multi-unit building construction in over 13 states and over 22 metro markets. Beazer Homes builds homes and communities that target first-time, move-up, and luxury homebuyers with an average selling price of roughly $300,000. From a geographic perspective, home sales in the western and eastern United States have been the leading sources of revenue for the company. Key metro areas include Atlanta, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Orlando, and Tampa. The company also focuses on land purchasing and development to support future construction efforts as well as mortgage services for its homebuyers.
Executives
Lloyd Emerson Johnson director 16737 NEW PROVIDENCE LANE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Robert L. Salomon officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 5535 LEXINGTON WOODS LANE, ALPHARETTA GA 30005
Pei Sun officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 1000 ABERNATHY ROAD, SUITE 260, ATLANTA GA 30328
C Christian Winkle director ONE RAVINIA DRIVE, STE 1500, ATLANTA GA 30346
David I Goldberg officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer 1000 ABERNATHY ROAD, NE, SUITE 260, ATLANTA GA 30328
Zelnak Stephen P Jr director MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS INC, 2710 WYCLIFF ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27607
David J Spitz director C/O CHANNELADVISOR CORPORATION, 2701 AERIAL CENTER PARKWAY, MORRISVILLE NC 27568
Allan P Merrill director, officer: President and CEO BEAZER HOMES, 1000 ABERNATHY RD, SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Danny R Shepherd director VULCAN MATERIALS COMPANY, 1200 URBAN CENTER DRIVE, BIRMINGHAM AL 35242
Belknap Keith L Jr officer: EVP, General Counsel 3585 ENGINEERING DRIVE, SUITE 100, NORCROSS GA 30092
Larry T Solari director
Brian C Beazer director C/O NUMEREX, 1600 PARKWOOD CIRCLE #200, ATLANTA GA 30339-2119
Peter M Orser director 1000 ABERNATHY ROAD, SUITE 260, ATLANTA GA 30328
Elizabeth S Acton director 5408 WALDENHILL COURT, SUPERIOR TOWNSHIP MI 48198
Laurent Alpert director