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ChemoCentryx (ChemoCentryx) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-27.76 (As of Jun22)


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What is ChemoCentryx Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun22, ChemoCentryx's earnings power value is $-27.76. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


ChemoCentryx Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for ChemoCentryx's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ChemoCentryx Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

ChemoCentryx Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.21 -0.10 -3.18 -7.58 -26.27

ChemoCentryx Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -18.55 -20.16 -26.27 -26.94 -27.76

Competitive Comparison of ChemoCentryx's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, ChemoCentryx's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ChemoCentryx's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, ChemoCentryx's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ChemoCentryx's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



ChemoCentryx Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

ChemoCentryx's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 51.53
DDA 1.45
Operating Margin % -399.88
SGA * 25% 11.38
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 6.37
Cash and Cash Equivalents 328.62
Short-Term Debt 22.76
Long-Term Debt 49.25
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 71.23

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -399.88%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $51.53 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -399.88%, Average Adjusted SGA = 11.38,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 51.53 * -399.88% +11.38 = $-194.695697592 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-194.695697592 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -194.695697592 * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $-194.695697592 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.45 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -194.695697592 + 0 = $-194.695697592 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
ChemoCentryx's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $6.37 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. ChemoCentryx's current cash and cash equivalent = $328.62 Mil.
ChemoCentryx's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 49.25 + 22.76 = $72.003 Mil.
ChemoCentryx's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 71.23 Mil.

ChemoCentryx's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -194.695697592 - 6.37)/ 9%+328.62-72.003 )/71.23
=-27.76

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -27.7592968389-51.99 )/-27.7592968389
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


ChemoCentryx  (NAS:CCXI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


ChemoCentryx Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ChemoCentryx's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ChemoCentryx (ChemoCentryx) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
835 Industrial Road, Suite 600, San Carlos, CA, USA, 94070
ChemoCentryx Inc is a biopharmaceutical company involved in the discovery, development, and commercialization of orally administered drugs to treat rare diseases, inflammatory disorders, autoimmune diseases, and cancer. The company's approach is to target the chemoattractant system, defined as a network of molecules (for example, chemokine ligands, their associated receptors, and chemoattractant receptors) known to cause inflammation. The targeted therapeutic areas are an antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody, atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome, immunoglobulin A-mediated nephropathy (rare diseases category), pancreatic cancer, chronic kidney disease, psoriasis, rheumatoid arthritis, asthma, Crohn's disease, inflammatory bowel disease, and others.
Executives
Susan M Kanaya officer: SVP Finance, CFO & Secretary 850 MAUDE AVENUE MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Thomas J. Schall director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, CEO and Director 850 MAUDE AVENUE MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Jennifer Lyn Herron director C/O GENOCEA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 100 ACORN PARK DRIVE 5TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
James L Tyree director 100 ABBOTT PARK ROAD, ABBOTT PARK IL 60064-6400
Yi Ching Yau officer: SVP, Finance & Acctg Officer C/O BRIDGEBIO PHARMA, INC., 421 KIPLING STREET, PALO ALTO CA 94301
David E. Wheadon director C/O ASSERTIO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 100 SOUTH SAUNDERS ROAD, SUITE 300, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Vifor (international) Ltd 10 percent owner RECHENSTRASSE 37, ST. GALLEN V8 9000
Tausif Butt officer: EVP, Chief Operating Officer C/O CHEMOCENTRYX, INC. 850 MAUDE AVE. MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Geoffrey M. Parker director 15 RIORDAN PLACE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Thomas A. Edwards director C/O CHEMOCENTRYX, INC. 850 MAUDE AVE. MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Markus J. Cappel officer: CBO and Treasurer 850 MAUDE AVENUE MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Pui San Kwan officer: Principal Acctg Officer 850 MAUDE AVENUE MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Rajinder Singh officer: SVP, Research C/O CHEMOCENTRYX, INC. 850 MAUDE AVE. MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Rita Jain director C/O AKEBIA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 245 FIRST STREET, SUITE 1100, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Vifor Pharma Ltd. 10 percent owner UNTERMATTWEG 8, BERNE V8 CH-3027

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