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Chesapeake Lodging Trust (Chesapeake Lodging Trust) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $6.06 (As of Jun19)


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What is Chesapeake Lodging Trust Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun19, Chesapeake Lodging Trust's earnings power value is $6.06. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Chesapeake Lodging Trust Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chesapeake Lodging Trust Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Chesapeake Lodging Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -79.50 -70.62 -33.81 -27.72 -

Chesapeake Lodging Trust Quarterly Data
Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -21.07 - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the REIT - Hotel & Motel subindustry, Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Chesapeake Lodging Trust Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Chesapeake Lodging Trust's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 589.0
DDA 72.6
Operating Margin % 17.05
SGA * 25% 4.6
Tax Rate % 4.01
Maintenance Capex 0.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 46.2
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 817.3
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 60.3

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 17.05%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $589.0 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 17.05%, Average Adjusted SGA = 4.6,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 589.0 * 17.05% +4.6 = $105.045094151 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 4.01%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $105.045094151 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 105.045094151 * ( 1 - 4.01% ) = $100.82858407178 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 72.6 * 0.5 * 4.01% = $1.456210962 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 100.82858407178 + 1.456210962 = $102.28479503378 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Chesapeake Lodging Trust's current cash and cash equivalent = $46.2 Mil.
Chesapeake Lodging Trust's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 817.3 + 0.0 = $817.34 Mil.
Chesapeake Lodging Trust's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 60.3 Mil.

Chesapeake Lodging Trust's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun19 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 102.28479503378 - 0.0)/ 9%+46.2-817.34 )/60.3
=6.06

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 6.0634682320126-27.17 )/6.0634682320126
= -348.09%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Chesapeake Lodging Trust  (NYSE:CHSP) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Chesapeake Lodging Trust Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Chesapeake Lodging Trust (Chesapeake Lodging Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4300 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 625, Arlington, VA, USA, 22203
Chesapeake Lodging Trust is a real estate investment trust that invests in upper-upscale hotels in business and convention markets and, selectively, premium select-service hotels in urban settings and other locations in the United States. The company operates through its hotel ownership segment. The firm's operations include management agreements, which includes partnering with third parties to manage its hotels; franchise agreements; and TRS lease agreements, which are intercompany agreements between Chesapeake's property-owning subsidiaries and its TRS lessees. The company's revenue streams include room, food and beverage, and other, of which the room segment contributes the vast majority of total revenue.
Executives
Thomas D Eckert director 1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
John W Hill director 1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
James L Francis director, officer: President & CEO 1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Douglas W Vicari director, officer: EVP & CFO 1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Thomas A Natelli director 1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
D Rick Adams officer: EVP & COO 1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Jeffrey D Nuechterlein director 1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Graham J. Wootten officer: SVP, CAO & Secretary C/O CHESAPEAKE LODGING TRUST, 1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Angelique G. Brunner director C/O CHESAPEAKE LODGING TRUST, 4300 WILSON BOULEVARD, SUITE 625, ARLINGTON VA 22203
George F Mckenzie director 1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY, SUITE 410, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Geoffrey Hulme 10 percent owner C/O PORTER ORLIN LLC, 666 FIFTH AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10103
A Alex Porter 10 percent owner C/O PORTER ORLIN LLC, 666 FIFTH AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10103
Paul E Orlin 10 percent owner C/O PORTER ORLIN LLC, 666 FIFTH AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10103
Jonathan W Friedland 10 percent owner C/O PORTER ORLIN LLC, 666 FIFTH AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10103
Porter Orlin Llc 10 percent owner 666 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 3403, NEW YORK NY 10103

Chesapeake Lodging Trust (Chesapeake Lodging Trust) Headlines