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CNO Financial Group (CNO Financial Group) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $155.71 (As of Dec23)


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What is CNO Financial Group Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, CNO Financial Group's earnings power value is $155.71. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


CNO Financial Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for CNO Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CNO Financial Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

CNO Financial Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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CNO Financial Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of CNO Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Insurance - Life subindustry, CNO Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CNO Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, CNO Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CNO Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



CNO Financial Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

CNO Financial Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,937
DDA 265
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 0
Tax Rate % 15.42
Maintenance Capex 0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 21,621
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 4,151
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 114

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,937 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,937 * 0.00% +0 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 15.42%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 15.42% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 265 * 0.5 * 15.42% = $20.42401675 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 20.42401675 = $20.42401675 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
CNO Financial Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. CNO Financial Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $21,621 Mil.
CNO Financial Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 4,151 + 0 = $4150.6 Mil.
CNO Financial Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 114 Mil.

CNO Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 20.42401675 - 0)/ 9%+21,621-4150.6 )/114
=155.71

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 155.70561883073-26.40 )/155.70561883073
= 83.04%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


CNO Financial Group  (NYSE:CNO) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


CNO Financial Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CNO Financial Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CNO Financial Group (CNO Financial Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
11825 N. Pennsylvania Street, Carmel, IN, USA, 46032
CNO Financial Group Inc is a holding company for a group of insurance companies that offers middle-income American consumers insurance and securities products through exclusive agents, independent producers, and direct marketing. Consumers are served through the phone, online, mail, face-to-face with agents, or sales channels. The company's operating segments include annuity, health, and life insurance product lines as well as the investment and fee revenue segments. Maximum revenue is generated from the health product line segment. Annuity premiums account for the majority of the total premiums collected. Annuity products include fixed index annuities, traditional fixed-rate annuities, and single-premium immediate annuity products.
Executives
Jeanne L. Linnenbringer officer: EVP and COO 11825 N. PENNSYLVANIA ST., CARMEL IN 46032
Tarasi Rocco F Iii officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O ITT EDUCATIONAL SERVICES INC, 13000 NORTH MERIDIAN STREET, CARMEL IN 46032
John R Kline officer: SVP & CAO 11825 N. PENNSYLVANIA STREET, CARMEL IN 46032
Yvonne K Franzese officer: EVP and Chief HR Officer 200 LAKE STREET EAST, WAYZATA MN 55391
Karen Detoro officer: Chief Actuary and CRO C/O CNO FINANCIAL GROUP, INC., 11825 NORTH PENNSYLVANIA STREET, CARMEL IN 46032
Scott L. Goldberg officer: President, Consumer Division 11825 N. PENNSYLVANIA STREET, CARMEL IN 46032
Gary C Bhojwani director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1 HORMEL PLACE, AUSTIN MN 55912
Steven E Shebik director 2775 SANDERS ROAD, NORTHBROOK IL 60062
Brown Archie M Jr director 255 E FIFTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Adrianne Lee director 799 WEST COLISEUM WAY, MIDVALE UT 84047
Matthew J. Zimpfer officer: EVP and General Counsel 11825 N. PENNSYLVANIA STREET, CARMEL IN 46032
Michael E. Mead officer: EVP and CIO 11825 N. PENNSYLVANIA ST., CARMEL IN 46032
Frederick James Sievert director 260 SOUTH LAKE DRIVE, STAMFORD CT 06903
Chetlur S Ragavan director 230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Dan Maurer director C/O ZAGG INC., 3855 SOUTH 500 WEST, SUITE N, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84115