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America's Car-Mart (America's Car-Mart) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $42.23 (As of Jan24)


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What is America's Car-Mart Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jan24, America's Car-Mart's earnings power value is $42.23. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -35.42

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


America's Car-Mart Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for America's Car-Mart's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

America's Car-Mart Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

America's Car-Mart Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 55.46 57.12 77.86 83.83 -37.61

America's Car-Mart Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 56.40 -37.61 50.93 42.81 42.23

Competitive Comparison of America's Car-Mart's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, America's Car-Mart's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


America's Car-Mart's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, America's Car-Mart's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where America's Car-Mart's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



America's Car-Mart Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

America's Car-Mart's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,093
DDA 5
Operating Margin % 8.84
SGA * 25% 37
Tax Rate % 20.39
Maintenance Capex 11
Cash and Cash Equivalents 4
Short-Term Debt 55
Long-Term Debt 751
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 6

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 8.84%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,093 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 8.84%, Average Adjusted SGA = 37,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,093 * 8.84% +37 = $133.862782693 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 20.39%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $133.862782693 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 133.862782693 * ( 1 - 20.39% ) = $106.56949992972 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 5 * 0.5 * 20.39% = $0.475349146 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 106.56949992972 + 0.475349146 = $107.04484907572 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
America's Car-Mart's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $11 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. America's Car-Mart's current cash and cash equivalent = $4 Mil.
America's Car-Mart's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 751 + 55 = $805.926 Mil.
America's Car-Mart's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 6 Mil.

America's Car-Mart's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jan24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 107.04484907572 - 11)/ 9%+4-805.926 )/6
=42.23

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 42.227990815865-57.185 )/42.227990815865
= -35.42%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


America's Car-Mart  (NAS:CRMT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


America's Car-Mart Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of America's Car-Mart's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


America's Car-Mart (America's Car-Mart) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1805 North 2nd Street, Suite 401, Rogers, AR, USA, 72756
America's Car-Mart Inc is an automotive retailer in us focused exclusively on the Integrated Auto Sales and Finance segment of the used car market. The Company's operations are principally conducted through its two operating subsidiaries, America's Car Mart Inc and Colonial Auto Finance. It primarily sells older model used vehicles and provides financing for substantially all of its customers. The Company earns revenue from the sale of used vehicles and in most cases a related service contract and an accident protection plan product, as well as interest income and late fees from the related financing.
Executives
Magnolia Capital Fund, Lp 10 percent owner 1601 DODGE STREET, SUITE 3300, OMAHA NE 68102
Campbell Douglas W. Jr. officer: President C/O AMERICA'S CAR-MART, INC., 1805 NORTH 2ND STREET, SUITE 401, ROGERS AR 72756
Joshua G Welch director C/O VICUNA ADVISORS LLC, PO BOX 427, STONINGTON CT 06378
Julia K. Davis director C/O AMERICA'S CAR-MART, INC., 1805 NORTH 2ND STREET, SUITE 401, ROGERS AR 72756
Leonard L. Walthall officer: Chief Operating Officer 1805 N. 2ND STREET, SUITE 401, ROGERS AR 72756
Dawn C Morris director 255 E. FIFTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
William H Henderson director, officer: President and CEO C/O AMERICA'S CARMART, 1805 NORTH 2ND STREET, SUITE 401, ROGERS AR 72756
Gremp Jim Von director C/O AMERICA'S CAR-MART, INC., 802 SE PLAZA AVE, SUITE 200, BENTONVILLE AR 72712
Ann G. Bordelon director C/O AMERICA'S CAR-MART, INC., 1805 N. 2ND STREET, SUITE 401, ROGERS AR 72756
Daniel J Englander director C/O AMERICA'S CARMART, 802 SOUTHEAST PLAZA AVE #200, BENTONVILLE AR 72712
Ray C Dillon director C/O AMERICA'S CAR-MART, INC., 1805 N. 2ND STREET, SUITE 401, ROGERS AR 72756
Robert Cameron Smith director 802 SOUTHEAST PLAZA AVENUE, SUITE 200, BENTONVILLE AR 72712
Vickie D. Judy officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O AMERICA'S CAR-MART, INC., 1805 N. 2ND STREET, SUITE 401, ROGERS AR 72756
Eddie L Hight officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O AMERICA'S CARMART, 802 SOUTHEAST PLAZA AVE, #200, BENTONVILLE AR 72712
Adam K Peterson 10 percent owner 1601 DODGE STREET, SUITE 3300, OMAHA NE 68102