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Cooper Tire & Rubber Co (Cooper Tire & Rubber Co) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $17.14 (As of Mar21)


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What is Cooper Tire & Rubber Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar21, Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's earnings power value is $17.14. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Cooper Tire & Rubber Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cooper Tire & Rubber Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Cooper Tire & Rubber Co Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.75 23.54 24.78 19.51 21.99

Cooper Tire & Rubber Co Quarterly Data
Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.00 14.24 20.47 21.99 17.14

Competitive Comparison of Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Cooper Tire & Rubber Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 2,773
DDA 147
Operating Margin % 9.07
SGA * 25% 62
Tax Rate % 36.67
Maintenance Capex 151
Cash and Cash Equivalents 460
Short-Term Debt 26
Long-Term Debt 391
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 51

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 9.07%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $2,773 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 9.07%, Average Adjusted SGA = 62,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 2,773 * 9.07% +62 = $313.754810385 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 36.67%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $313.754810385 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 313.754810385 * ( 1 - 36.67% ) = $198.69621509466 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 147 * 0.5 * 36.67% = $26.9268923195 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 198.69621509466 + 26.9268923195 = $225.62310741416 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $151 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's current cash and cash equivalent = $460 Mil.
Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 391 + 26 = $416.149 Mil.
Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 51 Mil.

Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 225.62310741416 - 151)/ 9%+460-416.149 )/51
=17.14

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 17.13543537823-60.17 )/17.13543537823
= -251.14%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Cooper Tire & Rubber Co  (NYSE:CTB) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Cooper Tire & Rubber Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cooper Tire & Rubber Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cooper Tire & Rubber Co (Cooper Tire & Rubber Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
701 Lima Avenue, Findlay, OH, USA, 45840
Cooper Tire & Rubber Co is a manufacturer of replacement tires. It is engaged in design, manufacturing, and sales of passenger car, light truck, truck and bus radial, motorcycle and racing tires. The company has four geographical segments namely North America, Latin America, Europe, and Asia. It generates revenue from two sources Americas Tire and International Tire of which Americas Tire generates maximum revenue to the company. The company brands include Cooper, Mastercraft, Avon Tyres, Roadmaster, Starfire, Mickey Thompson, Dick Cepek, and Dean.
Executives
Steven M Chapman director 701 LIMA AVENUE, FINDLAY OH 45840
Brian C Walker director
Stephen Zamansky officer: Senior VP, Gen Counsel & Secy
Gerald C Bialek officer: VP, CFO & Treasurer 701 LIMA AVENUE, FINDLAY OH 45840
Paula S Whitesell officer: Senior Vice President 701 LIMA AVENUE FINDLAY OH 45840
Robert D Welding director 200 SOUTH MICHIGAN AVE, 200 SOUTH MICHIGAN AVE, CHICAGO IL 60604
Kathryn P Dickson director 1245 CEDAR LAKE ROAD S., MINNEAPOLIS MN 55416
Susan F Davis director
John J Holland director 26602 W. GREENTREE, OLATHE KS 66061
Gary S Michel director 800-E BEATY STREET, DAVIDSON NC 28036
Tracey Joubert director 1801 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 4600, DENVER CO 80202
Mark A. Young officer: Principal Accounting Officer 701 LIMA AVENUE, FINDLAY OH 45840
Bradley E. Hughes director, officer: President, CEO 2420 BRADWAY BOULEVARD, BLOOMFIELD VILLAGE MI 48301
Thomas P Capo director 443 WEST MERRILL STREET, BIRMINGHAM MI 48009
Christopher J Eperjesy officer: SVP, CFO 505 HIGHWAY 169 NORTH, PLYMOUTH MN 55441