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Daystar Technologies (Daystar Technologies) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-95.63 (As of Sep12)


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What is Daystar Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep12, Daystar Technologies's earnings power value is $-95.63. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Daystar Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Daystar Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Daystar Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Daystar Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Daystar Technologies Quarterly Data
Dec07 Mar08 Jun08 Sep08 Dec08 Mar09 Jun09 Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12
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Competitive Comparison of Daystar Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Daystar Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Daystar Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Daystar Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Daystar Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Daystar Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Daystar Technologies's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.00
DDA 2.41
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 1.33
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 14.10
Cash and Cash Equivalents 0.03
Short-Term Debt 5.64
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1.70

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.00 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.33,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.00 * 0.00% +1.33 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2.41 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Daystar Technologies's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $14.10 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Daystar Technologies's current cash and cash equivalent = $0.03 Mil.
Daystar Technologies's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 5.64 = $5.641 Mil.
Daystar Technologies's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1.70 Mil.

Daystar Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep12 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 14.10)/ 9%+0.03-5.641 )/1.70
=-95.63

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -95.630328029857-0.0039 )/-95.630328029857
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Daystar Technologies  (OTCPK:DSTI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Daystar Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Daystar Technologies (Daystar Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
DayStar Technologies, Inc., a Delaware corporation, was incorporated in February 1997. It completed its initial public offering in February 2004. It is a development stage enterprise, which develops, manufactures and markets products for the solar photovoltaic (PV) industry. The Company has developed a proprietary thin film deposition technology for solar photovoltaic (PV) products. It utilizes a proprietary one-step sputter deposition process and has manufactured a commercial scale deposition tool to apply high-efficiency copper indium gallium diselenide (CIGS) material over large area glass substrates in a continuous fashion. The Company intends to integrate this tool with commercially available thin film manufacturing equipment, which will provide it with a critically differentiated manufacturing process to produce low-cost monolithically integrated, CIGS-on-glass modules that address the grid-tied, ground-based PV market. It has initiated construction of its initial module production line. To facilitate its entry into the addressable solar PV market, it has entered into a contract with Blitzstrom GmbH, one of thin film solar PV integrators, that commits Blitzstrom to purchase a minimum of 50% of its production through 2011, subject to these products meeting defined performance criteria. The solar electricity industry currently supplies modules used in solar PV systems primarily for grid-connected systems.
Executives
William Steckel director 2972 STENDER WAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Richard C Green director 4200 W 115TH STREET, SUITE 210, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Kevin S Flannery director
Richard Nevins director 20580 PALMER AVENUE, SONOMA CA 95476
Scott M Schecter director
Lampe, Conway & Co. Llc 10 percent owner 680 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1202, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lc Capital International Llc 10 percent owner C/O LAMPE, CONWAY & CO., LLC, 680 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1202, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lc Capital Advisors Llc 10 percent owner C/O LAMPE, CONWAY & CO., LLC, 680 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1202, NEW YORK NY 10019
Richard F Conway 10 percent owner C/O LAMPE, CONWAY & CO. LLC, 680 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1202, NEW YORK NY 10019
Steven Lampe 10 percent owner C/O LAMPE, CONWAY & CO. LLC, 680 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1202, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lc Capital Master Fund Ltd 10 percent owner C/O TRIDENT FUND SERVICES (BVI) LIMITED, PO BOX 146, WATERFRONT DR, WICKHAMS CAY, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 00000
Lc Capital Partners Lp 10 percent owner 680 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1202, NEW YORK NY 10019
Quercus Trust other: Former 10% Owner 2309 SANTIAGO DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Steven Aragon officer: Vice-President Engineering 355 SOUTH TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, CENTRAL ISLIP NY 11722
David Gelbaum 10 percent owner, other: Co-Trustee 2309 SANTIAGO DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660

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