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Fox Chase Bancorp (Fox Chase Bancorp) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-1.63 (As of Mar16)


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What is Fox Chase Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar16, Fox Chase Bancorp's earnings power value is $-1.63. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Fox Chase Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fox Chase Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fox Chase Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Fox Chase Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.95 -11.28 -15.88 -8.21 -5.86

Fox Chase Bancorp Quarterly Data
Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.42 -8.12 -8.10 -5.86 -1.63

Competitive Comparison of Fox Chase Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Fox Chase Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fox Chase Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Fox Chase Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fox Chase Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Fox Chase Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Fox Chase Bancorp's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 36.64
DDA 0.72
Operating Margin % 27.05
SGA * 25% 4.24
Tax Rate % 30.09
Maintenance Capex 0.33
Cash and Cash Equivalents 9.11
Short-Term Debt 15.00
Long-Term Debt 120.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 11.31

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 27.05%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $36.64 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 27.05%, Average Adjusted SGA = 4.24,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 36.64 * 27.05% +4.24 = $14.15200132 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 30.09%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $14.15200132 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 14.15200132 * ( 1 - 30.09% ) = $9.8943009628714 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.72 * 0.5 * 30.09% = $0.108668826 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 9.8943009628714 + 0.108668826 = $10.002969788871 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Fox Chase Bancorp's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.33 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Fox Chase Bancorp's current cash and cash equivalent = $9.11 Mil.
Fox Chase Bancorp's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 120.00 + 15.00 = $135 Mil.
Fox Chase Bancorp's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 11.31 Mil.

Fox Chase Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar16 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 10.002969788871 - 0.33)/ 9%+9.11-135 )/11.31
=-1.63

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -1.629201000853-20.34 )/-1.629201000853
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Fox Chase Bancorp  (NAS:FXCB) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Fox Chase Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fox Chase Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fox Chase Bancorp (Fox Chase Bancorp) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Fox Chase Bancorp Inc is a Maryland corporation that was incorporated in March 2010. The Bank operates as a community-oriented financial institution offering traditional financial services to consumers and businesses in its market areas. The Bank attracts deposits from the general public and uses those funds to originate one- to four-family real estate, multi-family and commercial real estate, construction, commercial and consumer loans, which the Bank generally holds for investment. The largest segment of its loan portfolio is multi-family and commercial real estate loans. It offers fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage loans secured by multi-family and commercial real estate to individuals and small businesses in its main market areas. Its multi-family and commercial real estate loans are generally secured by condominiums, apartment buildings and mixed-use properties with residential units, as well as office and retail space. It originates multi-family and commercial real estate loans with terms of up to 25 years. The second largest segment of its loan portfolio is residential mortgage loans, which enable borrowers to purchase or refinance existing homes, which are owner occupied. It offer fixed-rate and adjustable-rate loans with terms up to 30 years. It also offers commercial and industrial loans to professionals, sole proprietorships and small and mid-size businesses in its market area. It offers variety of consumer loans, including home equity loans and lines of credit, loans to individuals to purchase insurance policies, loans secured by certificate of deposits (share loans) and unsecured overdraft lines of credit. It competes with various financial institutions and credit unions operating in its market areas and, to a lesser extent, from other financial service companies such as brokerage firms and insurance companies. Its competition for loans comes mainly from financial institutions in its market areas, and, to a lesser extent, from other financial service providers such as mortgage companies, mortgage brokers and credit unions. As a savings and loan holding company, it is subject to Federal Reserve Board regulations, examinations, supervision, reporting requirements and regulations concerning its activities.
Executives
Thomas M Petro director, officer: President and CEO 14 NORTH MAIN STREET, PO BOX197, SOUDERTON PA 18964
Randall J Mcgarry officer: Sr. VP Chief Info. Officer 4390 DAVISVILLE ROAD, HATBORO PA 19040
Roger S Deacon officer: EVP and CFO 14 NORTH MAIN STREET, PO BOX 197, SOUDERTON PA 18964
Nichols Anthony A Sr director
Donald R Caldwell director 5 RADNOR CORP CENTER STE 555, RADNOR PA 19087
Roger H Ballou director C/O CDI CORP, 1717 ARCH ST 35TH FL, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Todd S Benning director 14 NORTH MAIN STREET, PO BOX 197, SOUDERTON PA 18964
Richard M Eisenstaedt director
Gerald A Ronon director 4390 DAVISVILLE ROAD, HATBORO PA 19040
Peter A Sears director 1659 EAST BOOT ROAD, WEST CHESTER PA 19380

Fox Chase Bancorp (Fox Chase Bancorp) Headlines

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