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Gran Tierra Energy (Gran Tierra Energy) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-44.91 (As of Mar24)


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What is Gran Tierra Energy Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Gran Tierra Energy's earnings power value is $-44.91. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Gran Tierra Energy Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gran Tierra Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gran Tierra Energy Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Gran Tierra Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -64.29 -68.10 -64.48 -50.73 -49.99

Gran Tierra Energy Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -55.80 -61.89 -54.28 -49.99 -44.19

Competitive Comparison of Gran Tierra Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Gran Tierra Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gran Tierra Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Gran Tierra Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gran Tierra Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Gran Tierra Energy Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Gran Tierra Energy's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 527.2
DDA 183.6
Operating Margin % 15.77
SGA * 25% 9.4
Tax Rate % 15.67
Maintenance Capex 177.7
Cash and Cash Equivalents 126.6
Short-Term Debt 24.7
Long-Term Debt 583.1
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 31.8

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 15.77%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $527.2 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 15.77%, Average Adjusted SGA = 9.4,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 527.2 * 15.77% +9.4 = $92.5567296 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 15.67%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $92.5567296 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 92.5567296 * ( 1 - 15.67% ) = $78.049387802496 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 183.6 * 0.5 * 15.67% = $14.392384042 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 78.049387802496 + 14.392384042 = $92.441771844496 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Gran Tierra Energy's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $177.7 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Gran Tierra Energy's current cash and cash equivalent = $126.6 Mil.
Gran Tierra Energy's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 583.1 + 24.7 = $607.776 Mil.
Gran Tierra Energy's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 31.8 Mil.

Gran Tierra Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 92.441771844496 - 177.7)/ 9%+126.6-607.776 )/31.8
=-44.91

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -44.90967988471-9.10 )/-44.90967988471
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Gran Tierra Energy  (AMEX:GTE) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Gran Tierra Energy Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Gran Tierra Energy's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Gran Tierra Energy (Gran Tierra Energy) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 Centre Street South East, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2G 1A6
Gran Tierra Energy Inc is an independent energy company. It is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and gas properties. The firm produces light crude oil, supplemented with medium crude and natural gas. Gran Tierra holds interests in producing and prospective properties in Colombia and prospective properties in Ecuador. The company derives its revenue from Colombia.
Executives
Ronald Royal director C/O GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 200, 150 13 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2R 0V2
Phillip D Abraham officer: VP, Legal and Business Dev. GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 500 CENTRE STREET SE, CALGARY Z4 A0 T2G 1A6
Robert G Will officer: Vice President, Asset Manager GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 500 CENTRE STREET SE, CALGARY Z4 A0 T2G 1A6
Ryan Ellson officer: EVP and CFO C/O GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 200, 150 13 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2R 0V2
Alison Redford director C/O GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 900, 520 - 3 AVENUE SW, CALGARY Z4 T2P 0R3
Gmt Capital Corp 10 percent owner GMT CAPITAL CORP, 2300 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY SUITE 550 SOUTH, ATLANTA GA 30339
Brooke N. Wade director 500-1195 WEST BROADWAY, VANCOUVER A1 V6H 3X5
Lawrence West officer: VP, Exploration C/O GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 200, 150 13 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2R 0V2
Gary Guidry director, officer: President and CEO C/O GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 200, 150 13 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2R 0V2
David P Smith director C/O GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 200, 150 13 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2R 0V2
Sondra Scott director C/O GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 900, 520-3 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2P 0R3
Jim Evans officer: VP, Corporate Services C/O GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 200, 150 13 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2R 0V2
Remi Anthony Berthelet officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 900, 520 - 3 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2P 0R3
Rodger Derrick Trimble officer: VP, Investor Relations C/O GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 200, 150-13 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2R 0V2
Robert B. Hodgins director C/O GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC., 200, 150 13 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2R 0V2