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Heritage Oaks Bancorp (Heritage Oaks Bancorp) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $2.41 (As of Dec16)


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What is Heritage Oaks Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec16, Heritage Oaks Bancorp's earnings power value is $2.41. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Heritage Oaks Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Heritage Oaks Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Heritage Oaks Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Heritage Oaks Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.02 -1.05 1.37 2.35 2.41

Heritage Oaks Bancorp Quarterly Data
Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.35 2.19 2.00 2.44 2.41

Competitive Comparison of Heritage Oaks Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Heritage Oaks Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heritage Oaks Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Heritage Oaks Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heritage Oaks Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Heritage Oaks Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Heritage Oaks Bancorp's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 65.64
DDA 2.52
Operating Margin % 27.98
SGA * 25% 7.02
Tax Rate % 25.75
Maintenance Capex 5.69
Cash and Cash Equivalents 50.87
Short-Term Debt 43.50
Long-Term Debt 74.61
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 34.19

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 27.98%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $65.64 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 27.98%, Average Adjusted SGA = 7.02,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 65.64 * 27.98% +7.02 = $25.386896036 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 25.75%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $25.386896036 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 25.386896036 * ( 1 - 25.75% ) = $18.850912717052 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2.52 * 0.5 * 25.75% = $0.324959701 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 18.850912717052 + 0.324959701 = $19.175872418052 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Heritage Oaks Bancorp's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $5.69 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Heritage Oaks Bancorp's current cash and cash equivalent = $50.87 Mil.
Heritage Oaks Bancorp's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 74.61 + 43.50 = $118.112 Mil.
Heritage Oaks Bancorp's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 34.19 Mil.

Heritage Oaks Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec16 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 19.175872418052 - 5.69)/ 9%+50.87-118.112 )/34.19
=2.41

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 2.4148994507662-13.35 )/2.4148994507662
= -452.82%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Heritage Oaks Bancorp  (NAS:HEOP) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Heritage Oaks Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Heritage Oaks Bancorp (Heritage Oaks Bancorp) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Heritage Oaks Bancorp is a California corporation organized in 1994 and registered as a bank holding company. The Company acquired all of the outstanding common stock of Heritage Oaks Bank (Bank) and its subsidiaries in 1994. The Bank is a community-oriented financial services firm that provides banking products and services to small and medium sized businesses and consumers. Products and services are offered primarily through 12 retail branches located on the Central Coast of California, in San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties and through other direct channels, including two loan production offices in Santa Barbara and Ventura Counties. The Bank offers to its commercial clients commercial loans secured by real estate, other commercial loans and lines of credit, agricultural loans, construction financing, other real estate loans and SBA loans. For consumers, the Bank offers residential mortgages, equity lines of credit and other consumer loans. Deposit products offered include personal and business checking and savings accounts, time deposit accounts, individual retirement accounts ("IRAs") and money market accounts. The Bank also offers online banking, mobile banking, wire transfers, safe deposit boxes, cashier's checks, traveler's checks, bank-by-mail, night depository services and other customary banking services. The Company's competitors include money center banks and large regional banks. Competition also includes other community-focused commercial banks. As a bank holding company, the Company is regulated under the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act") and is subject to inspection, examination and supervision by the Federal Reserve. It is also subject to the California Financial Code, as well as limited oversight by the DBO and the FDIC.
Executives
Timothy Joseph Stronks officer: Executive Vice President 1222 VINE STREET, PASO ROBLES CA 93446
Simone Lagomarsino director, officer: President / CEO 1515 WEST 190TH STREET, SUITE 275, GARDENA CA 90248
James J Lynch director, 10 percent owner PATRIOT FINANCIAL PARTNERS, LP, 2929 ARCH STREET, 27TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Michael E. Pfau director 545 12TH STREET, PASO ROBLES CA 93446
Michael James Morris director 545 12TH STREET, PASO ROBLES CA 93445
Stephen P Yost director 2221 EAST ROSECRANS AVENUE SUITE 131 EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Howard Gould director 3731 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 1000, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Gregory A Gehlmann officer: SVP & Chief Bank Counsel TRICO BANCSHARES, 63 CONSTITUTION DRIVE, CHICO CA 95973
J Mikesell Thomas 10 percent owner 51 WEST 52ND ST 14TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10019
Mark G Merlo 10 percent owner 4500 MERCANTILE PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 300, FORT WORTH TX 76137
Eggemeyer John M Iii 10 percent owner PO BOX 1329, RANCHO SANTA FE CA 92067
John Pietrzak 10 percent owner WEST COAST BANCORP, 5335 MEADOWS ROAD, SUITE 201, LAKE OSWEGO OR 97035
Castle Creek Capital Partners Iv, Lp 10 percent owner 6051 EL TORDO, P.O. BOX 1329, RANCHO SANTA FE CA 92067
Castle Creek Capital Iv Llc 10 percent owner 6051 EL TORDO, P.O. BOX 1329, RANCHO SANTA FE CA 92067
Lonny Duane Robinson officer: Chief Financial Officer 3435 WILSHIRE BLVD, SUITE 700, LOS ANGELES CA 90010

Heritage Oaks Bancorp (Heritage Oaks Bancorp) Headlines