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Hertz Global Holdings (Hertz Global Holdings) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-316.41 (As of Mar24)


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What is Hertz Global Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Hertz Global Holdings's earnings power value is $-316.41. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Hertz Global Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hertz Global Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hertz Global Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Hertz Global Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -877.57 -707.37 -219.32 -302.29 -326.17

Hertz Global Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -324.85 -333.95 -315.36 -326.17 -

Competitive Comparison of Hertz Global Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Hertz Global Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hertz Global Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Hertz Global Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hertz Global Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Hertz Global Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Hertz Global Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 8,081
DDA 2,041
Operating Margin % 7.12
SGA * 25% 207
Tax Rate % 1.46
Maintenance Capex 7,907
Cash and Cash Equivalents 465
Short-Term Debt 1,143
Long-Term Debt 16,701
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 305

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 7.12%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $8,081 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 7.12%, Average Adjusted SGA = 207,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 8,081 * 7.12% +207 = $782.602347 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 1.46%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $782.602347 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 782.602347 * ( 1 - 1.46% ) = $771.21548285115 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2,041 * 0.5 * 1.46% = $14.84973 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 771.21548285115 + 14.84973 = $786.06521285115 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Hertz Global Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $7,907 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Hertz Global Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $465 Mil.
Hertz Global Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 16,701 + 1,143 = $17844 Mil.
Hertz Global Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 305 Mil.

Hertz Global Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 786.06521285115 - 7,907)/ 9%+465-17844 )/305
=-316.41

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -316.40649133511-4.4489 )/-316.40649133511
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Hertz Global Holdings  (NAS:HTZ) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Hertz Global Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hertz Global Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Hertz Global Holdings (Hertz Global Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8501 Williams Road, Estero, FL, USA, 33928
Hertz Global Holdings Inc operates an automotive vehicle rental service through the Hertz, Dollar, Thrifty, and Firefly brands. The company offers cars, crossovers, and light trucks for rent; ancillary products and services; rental of industrial, construction, and material handling equipment; and fleet-leasing and fleet-management services. The company operates a network of car rental locations and licenses its brands to associates and franchisees.
Executives
Kelly Galloway officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 8501 WILLIAMS ROAD, ESTERO FL 33928
Eric Leef officer: EVP, Chief HR Officer 8501 WILLIAMS ROAD, ESTERO FL 33928
Jeffrey Nedelman director 8501 WILLIAMS ROAD, ESTERO FL 33928
Fran Bermanzohn director 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4200, NEW YORK NY 10019
Batcheler Colleen officer: EVP, General Counsel and Secy ONE CONAGRA DRIVE, OMAHA NE 68102
Stephen M Scherr director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC, 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Tim Langley-hawthorne officer: EVP, Tech & CIO 8501 WILLIAMS ROAD, ESTERO FL 33928
Evelina Vougessis Machas director 8501 WILLIAMS ROAD, ESTERO FL 33928
Jennifer Feikin director 8501 WILLIAMS ROAD, ESTERO FL 33928
Christopher Lahoud director APOLLO, 212 ROSECRANS AVE., EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Andrew Shannahan director 8501 WILLIAMS ROAD, ESTERO FL 33928
Mark Fields director FORD MOTOR COMPANY, ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Ck Amarillo Gp, Llc 10 percent owner C/O KNIGHTHEAD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 280 PARK AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Certares Opportunities Llc 10 percent owner 350 MADISON AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Ck Amarillo Lp 10 percent owner C/O KNIGHTHEAD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 280 PARK AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017