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Independent Bank Group (Independent Bank Group) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $32.67 (As of Mar24)


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What is Independent Bank Group Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Independent Bank Group's earnings power value is $32.67. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -20.42

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Independent Bank Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Independent Bank Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Independent Bank Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Independent Bank Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.26 47.88 89.35 31.81 30.13

Independent Bank Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.59 21.30 30.06 30.13 32.67

Competitive Comparison of Independent Bank Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Independent Bank Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Independent Bank Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Independent Bank Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Independent Bank Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Independent Bank Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Independent Bank Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 572.9
DDA 27.1
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 47.9
Tax Rate % 20.57
Maintenance Capex 36.3
Cash and Cash Equivalents 2,273.5
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 551.6
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 41.3

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $572.9 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 47.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 572.9 * 0.00% +47.9 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 20.57%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 20.57% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 27.1 * 0.5 * 20.57% = $2.784973995 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 2.784973995 = $2.784973995 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Independent Bank Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $36.3 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Independent Bank Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $2,273.5 Mil.
Independent Bank Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 551.6 + 0.0 = $551.642 Mil.
Independent Bank Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 41.3 Mil.

Independent Bank Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 2.784973995 - 36.3)/ 9%+2,273.5-551.642 )/41.3
=32.67

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 32.668899967996-39.34 )/32.668899967996
= -20.42%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Independent Bank Group  (NAS:IBTX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Independent Bank Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Independent Bank Group (Independent Bank Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
7777 Henneman Way, McKinney, TX, USA, 75070-1711
Independent Bank Group Inc is a bank holding company. It offers services such as checking and savings accounts, debit cards, online banking, including online account opening, mobile banking, eStatements and bank-by-mail and direct deposit services. The Company also offers business accounts and management services, including analyzed business checking, business savings, and treasury management services. The bank generates its revenue in the form of net interest income.
Executives
Janet P Froetscher director CBOE GLOBAL MARKETS, 433 W. VAN BUREN ST., CHICAGO IL 60607
Paul B Langdale officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 7777 HENNEMAN WAY, MCKINNEY TX 75070
Brenda K Montgomery officer: EVP, Chief Accounting Officer 7777 HENNEMAN WAY, MCKINNEY TX 75070
Michael B Hobbs officer: EVP/ Chief Lending Officer 1331 17TH STREET, SUITE 200, DENVER CO 80202
Daniel W Brooks director, officer: Vice Chairman and CRO 1600 REDBUD BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, MCKINNEY TX 75069
David R Brooks director, officer: Chairman and CEO 1600 REDBUD BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, MCKINNEY TX 75069
William E Fair director 1600 REDBUD BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, MCKINNEY TX 75069
James P Tippit officer: EVP Corporate Responsibility 1600 REDBUD BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, MCKINNEY TX 75069
Jennings John Webb Iii director 1980 POST OAK BOULEVARD, SUITE 2150, HOUSTON TX 77056
James C White officer: EVP and COO 1600 REDBUD BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, MCKINNEY TX 75069
G Stacy Smith director 300 CRESCENT COURT SUITE 1111, DALLAS TX 75201
Michelle S Hickox officer: EVP and CFO 1600 REDBUD BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, MCKINNEY TX 75069
John G Turpen officer: EVP, Chief Risk Officer 2000 MCKINNEY AVE, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Paul Washington director 1600 REDBUD BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, MCKINNEY TX 75069
Mark S Haynie officer: EVP - General Counsel 1600 REDBUS BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, MCKINNEY TX 75069

Independent Bank Group (Independent Bank Group) Headlines