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World Kinect (World Kinect) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $70.14 (As of Dec23)


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What is World Kinect Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, World Kinect's earnings power value is $70.14. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 64.8

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


World Kinect Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for World Kinect's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

World Kinect Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

World Kinect Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.98 74.04 71.04 68.28 70.14

World Kinect Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 68.28 68.95 68.24 72.14 70.14

Competitive Comparison of World Kinect's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, World Kinect's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


World Kinect's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, World Kinect's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where World Kinect's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



World Kinect Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

World Kinect's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 39,054
DDA 93
Operating Margin % 0.64
SGA * 25% 187
Tax Rate % -15.31
Maintenance Capex 63
Cash and Cash Equivalents 304
Short-Term Debt 79
Long-Term Debt 809
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 61

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.64%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $39,054 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.64%, Average Adjusted SGA = 187,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 39,054 * 0.64% +187 = $437.2834361 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -15.31%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $437.2834361 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 437.2834361 * ( 1 - -15.31% ) = $504.24683508717 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 93 * 0.5 * -15.31% = $-7.14374775 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 504.24683508717 + -7.14374775 = $497.10308733717 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
World Kinect's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $63 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. World Kinect's current cash and cash equivalent = $304 Mil.
World Kinect's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 809 + 79 = $887.9 Mil.
World Kinect's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 61 Mil.

World Kinect's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 497.10308733717 - 63)/ 9%+304-887.9 )/61
=70.14

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 70.141834221703-24.69 )/70.141834221703
= 64.8%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


World Kinect  (NYSE:WKC) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


World Kinect Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of World Kinect's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


World Kinect (World Kinect) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9800 Northwest 41st Street, Miami, FL, USA, 33178
World Kinect Corp is a global energy management company involved in providing supply fulfillment, energy procurement advisory services, and transaction and payment management solutions to commercial and industrial customers worldwide. It sells and delivers liquid fuels, natural gas, electricity, renewable energy, and other sustainability solutions.
Executives
Jill Smart director C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Ken Bakshi director 63 STONEBRIDGE ROAD, MONTCLAIR NJ 07042
Michael Crosby officer: EVP, Global Land 9800 N.W. 41ST STREET, MIAMI FL 33178
Jose-miguel Tejada officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer C/O WORLD FUEL SERVICES CORPORATION, 9800 NW 41ST STREET, MIAMI FL 33178
John L Manley director 15211 MEDICI WAY, NAPLES FL 34110
John Peter Rau officer: EVP, Global Aviation & Marine 9800 N.W. 41ST STREET, MIAMI FL 33178
Robert Alexander Lake officer: EVP, Chf. Legal Officer, CoSec C/O WORLD FUEL SERVICES CORPORATION, 9800 N.W. 41ST STREET, MIAMI FL 33178
Jorge L. Benitez director 5201 BLUE LAGOON DRIVE, SUITE 250, MIAMI FL 33126
Paul H Stebbins director, officer: Chairman and CEO C/O WORLD FUEL SERVICES CORP, 9800 N.W. 41ST STREET, SUITE 400, MIAMI FL 33178
Sharda Cherwoo director 160 WEST 66TH STREET, APT. 45F, NEW YORK NY 10023
Michael J Kasbar director, officer: President & COO C/ O WORLD FUEL SERVICES CORP, 9800 N.W. 41ST STREET, SUITE 400, MIAMI FL 33178
Richard A Kassar director C/O WORLD FUEL SERVICES CORP., 9800 N.W. 41ST STREET, SUITE 400, MIAMI FL 33178
J Thomas Presby director 198 KEELER ROAD, BRIDGEWATER CT 06752
Stephen K Roddenberry director C/O AKERMAN LLP, 98 SOUTHEAST SEVENTH STREET, MIAMI FL 33131
Jeffrey Paul Smith officer: EVP and COO C/O WORLD FUEL SERVICES CORPORATION, 9800 N.W. 41ST STREET, MIAMI FL 33178